Persistent gang violence and security shortfalls have repeatedly stalled voter and candidate registration since April 2026, while Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions preclude an August 30 first round. These factors keep the probability of further postponement near even, offset by the transitional government's revised electoral decree, record party registrations, and stated target of completing voting by December 2026 to seat officials by February 2027. Upcoming security training programs and any progress on funding or gang containment could stabilize the timeline, whereas intensified violence or additional decree disputes would likely push probabilities toward additional delays.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/08/30
新規
新規
2026/08/30
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Persistent gang violence and security shortfalls have repeatedly stalled voter and candidate registration since April 2026, while Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions preclude an August 30 first round. These factors keep the probability of further postponement near even, offset by the transitional government's revised electoral decree, record party registrations, and stated target of completing voting by December 2026 to seat officials by February 2027. Upcoming security training programs and any progress on funding or gang containment could stabilize the timeline, whereas intensified violence or additional decree disputes would likely push probabilities toward additional delays.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
音量
$6,548終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Persistent gang violence and security shortfalls have repeatedly stalled voter and candidate registration since April 2026, while Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions preclude an August 30 first round. These factors keep the probability of further postponement near even, offset by the transitional government's revised electoral decree, record party registrations, and stated target of completing voting by December 2026 to seat officials by February 2027. Upcoming security training programs and any progress on funding or gang containment could stabilize the timeline, whereas intensified violence or additional decree disputes would likely push probabilities toward additional delays.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$6,548終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent gang violence and security shortfalls have repeatedly stalled voter and candidate registration since April 2026, while Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions preclude an August 30 first round. These factors keep the probability of further postponement near even, offset by the transitional government's revised electoral decree, record party registrations, and stated target of completing voting by December 2026 to seat officials by February 2027. Upcoming security training programs and any progress on funding or gang containment could stabilize the timeline, whereas intensified violence or additional decree disputes would likely push probabilities toward additional delays.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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