Recent polling averages ahead of Spain's November 29 general election place the PP first at around 31-32% and the PSOE second near 26-27%, with Vox third at 18-19%. This consistent ordering, reinforced by seat projections showing the right bloc likely securing a majority, supports trader consensus around Vox for third place. Left-wing fragmentation, including stalled Broad Front alliance talks involving Sumar and Podemos, has limited their combined support to roughly 9-10% and reduced chances for any single left party to overtake Vox. Minor shifts in recent surveys have not altered the established hierarchy.