Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats holds the strongest position in the Dublin Central by-election to replace Paschal Donohoe, driven by his established local profile as a North Strand councillor and expected inflows from other left-leaning candidates in the proportional representation system. A recent Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Janice Boylan of Sinn Féin ahead on first preferences at 21 percent, with Ennis on 18 percent, yet traders assign him the clearest path to victory through transfers from Labour, Green, and People Before Profit supporters. Gerry Hutch’s independent campaign draws residual backing but remains constrained by his criminal record, while Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam and the Green Party’s Janet Horner trail further back. With polling day on May 22 and cost-of-living, housing, and community safety as dominant voter concerns, the outcome hinges on how preferences flow among the 14 candidates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ダニエル・エニス 70%
ジャニス・ボイラン 22.2%
ゲリー・ハッチ 9.2%
ジャネット・ホーナー 2.1%
$1,087,311 Vol.
$1,087,311 Vol.
ダニエル・エニス
70%
ジャニス・ボイラン
22%
ゲリー・ハッチ
9%
ジャネット・ホーナー
6%
レイ・マカダム
2%
マラキー・スティーソン
1%
ギリアン・シェラット
1%
イアン・ノエル・スミス
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
セーアマス・マグラッタン
<1%
メアリー・フィッツパトリック
<1%
ジョン・スティーブンズ
<1%
ダニエル・エニス 70%
ジャニス・ボイラン 22.2%
ゲリー・ハッチ 9.2%
ジャネット・ホーナー 2.1%
$1,087,311 Vol.
$1,087,311 Vol.
ダニエル・エニス
70%
ジャニス・ボイラン
22%
ゲリー・ハッチ
9%
ジャネット・ホーナー
6%
レイ・マカダム
2%
マラキー・スティーソン
1%
ギリアン・シェラット
1%
イアン・ノエル・スミス
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
セーアマス・マグラッタン
<1%
メアリー・フィッツパトリック
<1%
ジョン・スティーブンズ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats holds the strongest position in the Dublin Central by-election to replace Paschal Donohoe, driven by his established local profile as a North Strand councillor and expected inflows from other left-leaning candidates in the proportional representation system. A recent Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Janice Boylan of Sinn Féin ahead on first preferences at 21 percent, with Ennis on 18 percent, yet traders assign him the clearest path to victory through transfers from Labour, Green, and People Before Profit supporters. Gerry Hutch’s independent campaign draws residual backing but remains constrained by his criminal record, while Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam and the Green Party’s Janet Horner trail further back. With polling day on May 22 and cost-of-living, housing, and community safety as dominant voter concerns, the outcome hinges on how preferences flow among the 14 candidates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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