Following Slovenia's hung March 2026 parliamentary elections, outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement conceded failure to form a coalition on April 20, shifting momentum to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) as the largest opposition bloc. President Nataša Pirc Musar declined to nominate a candidate after initial consultations in early May, entering a second round where Janša leads talks with center-right partners like New Slovenia (NSi), bolstered by the National Assembly's recent approval of ministry trims signaling coalition viability. Trader consensus prices Janša at over 90% implied probability, reflecting his path to a majority vote; realistic challenges include partner defections, a failed confidence vote, or dissolution leading to snap elections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ヤネス・ヤンシャ 91.7%
イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツ 1.8%
アンジェ・ロガル 1.3%
ロベルト・ゴロブ 1.1%
$2,974,028 Vol.
$2,974,028 Vol.
ヤネス・ヤンシャ
92%
イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツ
2%
アンジェ・ロガル
1%
ロベルト・ゴロブ
1%
ウラジミル・プレビリッチ
<1%
ルカ・メセツ
<1%
マティアシュ・ハン
<1%
マテイ・トニン
<1%
ゾラン・ステバノヴィッチ
<1%
ヤネス・ヤンシャ 91.7%
イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツ 1.8%
アンジェ・ロガル 1.3%
ロベルト・ゴロブ 1.1%
$2,974,028 Vol.
$2,974,028 Vol.
ヤネス・ヤンシャ
92%
イェルネイ・ヴルトヴェツ
2%
アンジェ・ロガル
1%
ロベルト・ゴロブ
1%
ウラジミル・プレビリッチ
<1%
ルカ・メセツ
<1%
マティアシュ・ハン
<1%
マテイ・トニン
<1%
ゾラン・ステバノヴィッチ
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Slovenia's hung March 2026 parliamentary elections, outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement conceded failure to form a coalition on April 20, shifting momentum to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) as the largest opposition bloc. President Nataša Pirc Musar declined to nominate a candidate after initial consultations in early May, entering a second round where Janša leads talks with center-right partners like New Slovenia (NSi), bolstered by the National Assembly's recent approval of ministry trims signaling coalition viability. Trader consensus prices Janša at over 90% implied probability, reflecting his path to a majority vote; realistic challenges include partner defections, a failed confidence vote, or dissolution leading to snap elections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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