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世界·グローバル選挙

次期スロベニア首相

Market icon
世界·グローバル選挙

次期スロベニア首相

ロベルト・ゴロブ 71%

ヤネス・ヤンシャ 20%

アンジェ・ロガル 3.6%

ウラジミル・プレビリッチ <1%

Polymarket

$1,607,219 Vol.

ロベルト・ゴロブ 71%

ヤネス・ヤンシャ 20%

アンジェ・ロガル 3.6%

ウラジミル・プレビリッチ <1%

Polymarket

$1,607,219 Vol.

Market icon

ロベルト・ゴロブ

$457,270 Vol.

71%

Market icon

ヤネス・ヤンシャ

$512,453 Vol.

20%

Market icon

アンジェ・ロガル

$511,269 Vol.

4%

Market icon

ウラジミル・プレビリッチ

$126,228 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality in Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, winning 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly compared to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 seats under proportional representation. This razor-thin margin, amid pre-election polls showing a dead heat and a corruption scandal dogging Golob's campaign, has traders pricing him at 71% implied probability to retain the premiership through coalition formation. Golob launched broad coalition talks on March 27, urged by President Nataša Pirc Musar, leveraging incumbency and first-mandate advantage, while Janša holds 20% as a strong challenger reliant on kingmaker smaller parties. Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trail with minimal seats and coalition leverage.

Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality in Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, winning 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly compared to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 seats under proportional representation. This razor-thin margin, amid pre-election polls showing a dead heat and a corruption scandal dogging Golob's campaign, has traders pricing him at 71% implied probability to retain the premiership through coalition formation. Golob launched broad coalition talks on March 27, urged by President Nataša Pirc Musar, leveraging incumbency and first-mandate advantage, while Janša holds 20% as a strong challenger reliant on kingmaker smaller parties. Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trail with minimal seats and coalition leverage.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality in Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, winning 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly compared to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 seats under proportional representation. This razor-thin margin, amid pre-election polls showing a dead heat and a corruption scandal dogging Golob's campaign, has traders pricing him at 71% implied probability to retain the premiership through coalition formation. Golob launched broad coalition talks on March 27, urged by President Nataša Pirc Musar, leveraging incumbency and first-mandate advantage, while Janša holds 20% as a strong challenger reliant on kingmaker smaller parties. Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trail with minimal seats and coalition leverage.

Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality in Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, winning 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly compared to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 seats under proportional representation. This razor-thin margin, amid pre-election polls showing a dead heat and a corruption scandal dogging Golob's campaign, has traders pricing him at 71% implied probability to retain the premiership through coalition formation. Golob launched broad coalition talks on March 27, urged by President Nataša Pirc Musar, leveraging incumbency and first-mandate advantage, while Janša holds 20% as a strong challenger reliant on kingmaker smaller parties. Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trail with minimal seats and coalition leverage.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「次期スロベニア首相」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ロベルト・ゴロブ」で71%、次いで「ヤネス・ヤンシャ」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、71¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に71%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次期スロベニア首相」は$1.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 19, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次期スロベニア首相」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次期スロベニア首相」の現在のフロントランナーは「ロベルト・ゴロブ」で71%であり、市場がこの結果に71%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ヤネス・ヤンシャ」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次期スロベニア首相」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。