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icon for トロント市長選挙の勝者
政治·カナダ

トロント市長選挙の勝者

icon for トロント市長選挙の勝者
政治·カナダ

トロント市長選挙の勝者

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 19%

Ana Bailão 1.9%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$29,063 Vol.

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 19%

Ana Bailão 1.9%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$29,063 Vol.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$7,057 Vol.

77%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$8,632 Vol.

19%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$3,277 Vol.

2%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$1,922 Vol.

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$1,664 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$2,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$2,891 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$1,536 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability to win Toronto's October 26 municipal election, bolstered by her double-digit lead in the latest Liaison Strategies poll from April 17 showing 46% support versus Coun. Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters. This edge persists from March Pallas Data polling (35%-29%), underscoring incumbency advantages and voter familiarity amid a fragmented field. Bradford, at 19.5%, solidified as the main challenger by officially registering May 1 when nominations opened, while former Mayor John Tory's decision against re-election has funneled sentiment toward Chow. Remaining candidates trail due to lower name recognition; upcoming debates and provincial dynamics could influence undecided voters.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
音量
$29,063
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability to win Toronto's October 26 municipal election, bolstered by her double-digit lead in the latest Liaison Strategies poll from April 17 showing 46% support versus Coun. Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters. This edge persists from March Pallas Data polling (35%-29%), underscoring incumbency advantages and voter familiarity amid a fragmented field. Bradford, at 19.5%, solidified as the main challenger by officially registering May 1 when nominations opened, while former Mayor John Tory's decision against re-election has funneled sentiment toward Chow. Remaining candidates trail due to lower name recognition; upcoming debates and provincial dynamics could influence undecided voters.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
音量
$29,063
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トロント市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Olivia Chow」で77%、次いで「Brad Bradford」が19%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、77¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に77%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トロント市長選挙の勝者」は$29.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トロント市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トロント市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「Olivia Chow」で77%であり、市場がこの結果に77%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Brad Bradford」で19%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トロント市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。