Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holds a commanding trader consensus at 66% implied probability to win the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn on May 26, reflecting Paxton's dominant first-round performance on March 3 where he captured 42% to Cornyn's 30%, advancing past Rep. Wesley Hunt and eliminating longshot challengers like Dawn Buckingham, Rep. Beth Van Duyne, and Hunt. Recent March 20 polling from Impact Research shows Paxton expanding his edge to 53%-37% in the head-to-head matchup, driven by strong support among the GOP base amid Paxton's Trump-aligned record versus Cornyn's establishment positioning. President Trump's pending endorsement decision looms as a potential swing factor, while outside spending intensifies ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ケン・パクストン 66%
ジョン・コーニン 33%
ドーン・バックインガム <1%
ベス・ヴァン・ダイン <1%
$13,015,225 Vol.
$13,015,225 Vol.

ケン・パクストン
66%

ジョン・コーニン
33%

ドーン・バックインガム
<1%

ベス・ヴァン・ダイン
<1%

ウェズリー・ハント
<1%
ケン・パクストン 66%
ジョン・コーニン 33%
ドーン・バックインガム <1%
ベス・ヴァン・ダイン <1%
$13,015,225 Vol.
$13,015,225 Vol.

ケン・パクストン
66%

ジョン・コーニン
33%

ドーン・バックインガム
<1%

ベス・ヴァン・ダイン
<1%

ウェズリー・ハント
<1%
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holds a commanding trader consensus at 66% implied probability to win the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn on May 26, reflecting Paxton's dominant first-round performance on March 3 where he captured 42% to Cornyn's 30%, advancing past Rep. Wesley Hunt and eliminating longshot challengers like Dawn Buckingham, Rep. Beth Van Duyne, and Hunt. Recent March 20 polling from Impact Research shows Paxton expanding his edge to 53%-37% in the head-to-head matchup, driven by strong support among the GOP base amid Paxton's Trump-aligned record versus Cornyn's establishment positioning. President Trump's pending endorsement decision looms as a potential swing factor, while outside spending intensifies ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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