Recent polls conducted after the March 3 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary—such as Impact Research showing Ken Paxton at 53% to John Cornyn's 37%—have propelled Paxton to a 64.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the May 26 runoff winner, reflecting his surge among the conservative base challenging the four-term incumbent. Neither candidate reached a primary majority, forcing the runoff amid record spending exceeding $110 million and Paxton's positioning as a hard-right alternative to Cornyn's establishment ties. Wesley Hunt placed third but did not advance, rendering Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and others negligible at 0.1%. A potential Trump endorsement looms as a pivotal factor, with surveys indicating it could decisively favor Paxton.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ケン・パクストン 65%
ジョン・コーニン 32%
ドーン・バックインガム <1%
ベス・ヴァン・ダイン <1%
$13,060,822 Vol.
$13,060,822 Vol.
ケン・パクストン
65%
ジョン・コーニン
32%
ドーン・バックインガム
<1%
ベス・ヴァン・ダイン
<1%
ウェズリー・ハント
<1%
ケン・パクストン 65%
ジョン・コーニン 32%
ドーン・バックインガム <1%
ベス・ヴァン・ダイン <1%
$13,060,822 Vol.
$13,060,822 Vol.
ケン・パクストン
65%
ジョン・コーニン
32%
ドーン・バックインガム
<1%
ベス・ヴァン・ダイン
<1%
ウェズリー・ハント
<1%
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls conducted after the March 3 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary—such as Impact Research showing Ken Paxton at 53% to John Cornyn's 37%—have propelled Paxton to a 64.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the May 26 runoff winner, reflecting his surge among the conservative base challenging the four-term incumbent. Neither candidate reached a primary majority, forcing the runoff amid record spending exceeding $110 million and Paxton's positioning as a hard-right alternative to Cornyn's establishment ties. Wesley Hunt placed third but did not advance, rendering Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and others negligible at 0.1%. A potential Trump endorsement looms as a pivotal factor, with surveys indicating it could decisively favor Paxton.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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