Skip to main content
icon for SD - AL民主党予備選
選挙·サウスダコタ州予備選挙

SD - AL民主党予備選

icon for SD - AL民主党予備選
選挙·サウスダコタ州予備選挙

SD - AL民主党予備選

Nikki Gronli 98.0%

Billy Mawhiney 2.0%

Scott Schlagel 1.5%

Polymarket

$12,167 Vol.

Nikki Gronli 98.0%

Billy Mawhiney 2.0%

Scott Schlagel 1.5%

Polymarket

$12,167 Vol.

Nikki Gronli

$2,368 Vol.

98%

Billy Mawhiney

$4,602 Vol.

2%

Scott Schlagel

$5,197 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota Democratic primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, scheduled for June 2, 2026, due to the withdrawal of her main rival Billy Mawhiney earlier this year and the limited support for remaining filer Scott Schlagel. As a former USDA Rural Development state director and state Democratic Party vice chair, Gronli secured ballot access and consolidated party backing in a low-profile contest where no other viable challengers emerged. Trader consensus reflects this consolidation, with her implied probability near 98 percent. The outcome could shift only in the unlikely event of a late withdrawal reversal, unexpected ballot issues, or a significant undisclosed development before primary day, though current filings and reporting indicate no such factors are present.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$12,167
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota Democratic primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, scheduled for June 2, 2026, due to the withdrawal of her main rival Billy Mawhiney earlier this year and the limited support for remaining filer Scott Schlagel. As a former USDA Rural Development state director and state Democratic Party vice chair, Gronli secured ballot access and consolidated party backing in a low-profile contest where no other viable challengers emerged. Trader consensus reflects this consolidation, with her implied probability near 98 percent. The outcome could shift only in the unlikely event of a late withdrawal reversal, unexpected ballot issues, or a significant undisclosed development before primary day, though current filings and reporting indicate no such factors are present.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$12,167
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「SD - AL民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Nikki Gronli」で98%、次いで「Billy Mawhiney」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SD - AL民主党予備選」は$12.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SD - AL民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SD - AL民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「Nikki Gronli」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Billy Mawhiney」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SD - AL民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。