Recent polls, including an Alaska Survey Research survey released days ago, show Democrat Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by 4-5 points in hypothetical general election matchups under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system, driving trader consensus to price her victory at 61.5%. Sullivan's approval rating has hit new lows—third-worst among U.S. senators per Morning Consult—amid voter skepticism, boosting Peltola's position as the top Democratic challenger following her January announcement and prior House wins. Minor candidates like Dustin Darden trail far behind at under 1%, reflecting weak primary support ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary. National Senate battleground dynamics and Alaska's independent voters add uncertainty to the November 3 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日メアリー・ペルトラ 62%
ダン・サリバン 39%
ダスティン・ダーデン <1%
リチャード・グレイソン <1%
$292,237 Vol.
$292,237 Vol.
メアリー・ペルトラ
62%
ダン・サリバン
39%
ダスティン・ダーデン
<1%
リチャード・グレイソン
<1%
アン・ディーナー
<1%
メアリー・ペルトラ 62%
ダン・サリバン 39%
ダスティン・ダーデン <1%
リチャード・グレイソン <1%
$292,237 Vol.
$292,237 Vol.
メアリー・ペルトラ
62%
ダン・サリバン
39%
ダスティン・ダーデン
<1%
リチャード・グレイソン
<1%
アン・ディーナー
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including an Alaska Survey Research survey released days ago, show Democrat Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by 4-5 points in hypothetical general election matchups under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system, driving trader consensus to price her victory at 61.5%. Sullivan's approval rating has hit new lows—third-worst among U.S. senators per Morning Consult—amid voter skepticism, boosting Peltola's position as the top Democratic challenger following her January announcement and prior House wins. Minor candidates like Dustin Darden trail far behind at under 1%, reflecting weak primary support ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary. National Senate battleground dynamics and Alaska's independent voters add uncertainty to the November 3 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問