Recent polling from April shows Democratic challenger Mary Peltola holding a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan in head-to-head matchups under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system, a factor reflected in trader consensus favoring her at 61.5 percent implied probability. Peltola's record first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million, more than four times Sullivan's total, has enabled aggressive outreach on affordability measures such as targeted income tax relief amid voter economic concerns. Both candidates back major resource development projects, while Sullivan recently secured an endorsement from the state's regional Native corporations. The August jungle primary and November general election remain key milestones that could influence preference flows and turnout in this competitive race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日メアリー・ペルトラ 62%
ダン・サリバン 40%
ダスティン・ダーデン <1%
アン・ディーナー <1%
$324,061 Vol.
$324,061 Vol.
メアリー・ペルトラ
62%
ダン・サリバン
40%
ダスティン・ダーデン
<1%
アン・ディーナー
<1%
リチャード・グレイソン
<1%
メアリー・ペルトラ 62%
ダン・サリバン 40%
ダスティン・ダーデン <1%
アン・ディーナー <1%
$324,061 Vol.
$324,061 Vol.
メアリー・ペルトラ
62%
ダン・サリバン
40%
ダスティン・ダーデン
<1%
アン・ディーナー
<1%
リチャード・グレイソン
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from April shows Democratic challenger Mary Peltola holding a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan in head-to-head matchups under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system, a factor reflected in trader consensus favoring her at 61.5 percent implied probability. Peltola's record first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million, more than four times Sullivan's total, has enabled aggressive outreach on affordability measures such as targeted income tax relief amid voter economic concerns. Both candidates back major resource development projects, while Sullivan recently secured an endorsement from the state's regional Native corporations. The August jungle primary and November general election remain key milestones that could influence preference flows and turnout in this competitive race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問