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icon for アラスカ州上院選挙の勝者
選挙·米国選挙

アラスカ州上院選挙の勝者

icon for アラスカ州上院選挙の勝者
選挙·米国選挙

アラスカ州上院選挙の勝者

メアリー・ペルトラ 61%

ダン・サリバン 38%

ダスティン・ダーデン <1%

アン・ディーナー <1%

Polymarket

$327,220 Vol.

メアリー・ペルトラ 61%

ダン・サリバン 38%

ダスティン・ダーデン <1%

アン・ディーナー <1%

Polymarket

$327,220 Vol.

icon for メアリー・ペルトラ

メアリー・ペルトラ

$159,495 Vol.

61%

icon for ダン・サリバン

ダン・サリバン

$90,702 Vol.

38%

icon for ダスティン・ダーデン

ダスティン・ダーデン

$21,626 Vol.

<1%

icon for アン・ディーナー

アン・ディーナー

$34,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for リチャード・グレイソン

リチャード・グレイソン

$21,349 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola’s strong early fundraising edge and recent polling leads have positioned her as the frontrunner in trader consensus for the 2026 Alaska Senate race. She raised nearly $9 million in the first quarter compared with incumbent Dan Sullivan’s roughly $2 million, while Alaska Survey Research polls from March and April showed her ahead by 5 to 7 points in head-to-head matchups. Alaska’s jungle primary and ranked-choice voting system, combined with Peltola’s high statewide approval ratings from her prior House tenure, have made the contest unusually competitive for the Republican-leaning state. Sullivan retains incumbency advantages and cash reserves, but the Democratic challenger’s momentum and national party support have narrowed historical margins. The August primary and November general election will test whether these trends hold.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
音量
$327,220
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola’s strong early fundraising edge and recent polling leads have positioned her as the frontrunner in trader consensus for the 2026 Alaska Senate race. She raised nearly $9 million in the first quarter compared with incumbent Dan Sullivan’s roughly $2 million, while Alaska Survey Research polls from March and April showed her ahead by 5 to 7 points in head-to-head matchups. Alaska’s jungle primary and ranked-choice voting system, combined with Peltola’s high statewide approval ratings from her prior House tenure, have made the contest unusually competitive for the Republican-leaning state. Sullivan retains incumbency advantages and cash reserves, but the Democratic challenger’s momentum and national party support have narrowed historical margins. The August primary and November general election will test whether these trends hold.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
音量
$327,220
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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よくある質問

「アラスカ州上院選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「メアリー・ペルトラ」で61%、次いで「ダン・サリバン」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「アラスカ州上院選挙の勝者」は$327.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「アラスカ州上院選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アラスカ州上院選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「メアリー・ペルトラ」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ダン・サリバン」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アラスカ州上院選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。