With Georgia's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary four days away on May 19, trader consensus pins Amanda Hollowell at 44.5% implied probability in a tight three-way contest against Michael McCord and Patrick Wilver at 38.5% each, reflecting a fragmented eight-candidate field in this open R+8 coastal seat vacated by Rep. Buddy Carter. Absent public polls, odds hinge on McCord's fundraising lead ($225K raised, $147K cash on hand through March) offset by Hollowell's endorsements from Working Families Party and Higher Heights for America, bolstering her organizer profile. Recent April forums, including a April 27 debate sparring over progressive labels and GOP outreach strategies, highlight persistent divisions. Low-turnout dynamics favor strong plurality grabs; last-minute GOTV, endorsements, or early voting surges could trigger a June 16 runoff or separate frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
GA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Amanda Hollowell 45%
Patrick Wilver 39%
Michael McCord 39%
Joyce Marie Griggs 11%
Amanda Hollowell
45%
Patrick Wilver
39%
Michael McCord
39%
Joyce Marie Griggs
11%
Sharon Stokes-Williamson
8%
Randy Zurcher
7%
Defonsio Daniels
3%
Joseph Palimeno
3%
Amanda Hollowell 45%
Patrick Wilver 39%
Michael McCord 39%
Joyce Marie Griggs 11%
Amanda Hollowell
45%
Patrick Wilver
39%
Michael McCord
39%
Joyce Marie Griggs
11%
Sharon Stokes-Williamson
8%
Randy Zurcher
7%
Defonsio Daniels
3%
Joseph Palimeno
3%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With Georgia's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary four days away on May 19, trader consensus pins Amanda Hollowell at 44.5% implied probability in a tight three-way contest against Michael McCord and Patrick Wilver at 38.5% each, reflecting a fragmented eight-candidate field in this open R+8 coastal seat vacated by Rep. Buddy Carter. Absent public polls, odds hinge on McCord's fundraising lead ($225K raised, $147K cash on hand through March) offset by Hollowell's endorsements from Working Families Party and Higher Heights for America, bolstering her organizer profile. Recent April forums, including a April 27 debate sparring over progressive labels and GOP outreach strategies, highlight persistent divisions. Low-turnout dynamics favor strong plurality grabs; last-minute GOTV, endorsements, or early voting surges could trigger a June 16 runoff or separate frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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