Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% for President Trump remaining in office through June 30, driven by the absence of active impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals despite controversy over the month-old Iran conflict dubbed Operation Epic Fury. In his April 1 national address, Trump outlined decisive successes against the Iranian regime and projected a 2-3 week timeline to wind down operations, tempering escalation risks that could spur congressional action. With Republicans controlling Congress ahead of November 2026 midterms, Senate conviction remains a high bar per historical precedent from Trump's prior impeachments. Recent executive actions like strengthened steel tariffs and the fiscal 2026 budget underscore routine governance, while partisan calls for removal lack procedural momentum. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or war reversals could shift odds, though none have materialized in the past 30 days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$1,975,938 Vol.
$1,975,938 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$1,975,938 Vol.
$1,975,938 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% for President Trump remaining in office through June 30, driven by the absence of active impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals despite controversy over the month-old Iran conflict dubbed Operation Epic Fury. In his April 1 national address, Trump outlined decisive successes against the Iranian regime and projected a 2-3 week timeline to wind down operations, tempering escalation risks that could spur congressional action. With Republicans controlling Congress ahead of November 2026 midterms, Senate conviction remains a high bar per historical precedent from Trump's prior impeachments. Recent executive actions like strengthened steel tariffs and the fiscal 2026 budget underscore routine governance, while partisan calls for removal lack procedural momentum. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or war reversals could shift odds, though none have materialized in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
音量
$1,975,938終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% for President Trump remaining in office through June 30, driven by the absence of active impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals despite controversy over the month-old Iran conflict dubbed Operation Epic Fury. In his April 1 national address, Trump outlined decisive successes against the Iranian regime and projected a 2-3 week timeline to wind down operations, tempering escalation risks that could spur congressional action. With Republicans controlling Congress ahead of November 2026 midterms, Senate conviction remains a high bar per historical precedent from Trump's prior impeachments. Recent executive actions like strengthened steel tariffs and the fiscal 2026 budget underscore routine governance, while partisan calls for removal lack procedural momentum. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or war reversals could shift odds, though none have materialized in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,975,938終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% for President Trump remaining in office through June 30, driven by the absence of active impeachment proceedings, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or resignation signals despite controversy over the month-old Iran conflict dubbed Operation Epic Fury. In his April 1 national address, Trump outlined decisive successes against the Iranian regime and projected a 2-3 week timeline to wind down operations, tempering escalation risks that could spur congressional action. With Republicans controlling Congress ahead of November 2026 midterms, Senate conviction remains a high bar per historical precedent from Trump's prior impeachments. Recent executive actions like strengthened steel tariffs and the fiscal 2026 budget underscore routine governance, while partisan calls for removal lack procedural momentum. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or war reversals could shift odds, though none have materialized in the past 30 days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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