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政治·トランプ

トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？

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政治·トランプ

トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

$296,447 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
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$296,447 Vol.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus gives an 86% implied probability to NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte as the likeliest figure President Trump will engage in a verifiable phone call, meeting, or interview by March 31, reflecting Rutte's March 22 CBS disclosure of multiple recent conversations with Trump, coupled with his March 26 praise for Trump's role in strengthening NATO defense spending amid alliance debates over supporting US operations in the Iran conflict. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman trades at 47%, buoyed by reports of regular calls urging harsher Iran measures and Trump's March 27 keynote at the Saudi-backed Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami. With three days left, late-breaking diplomacy on Iran or NATO could pivot odds in this $294K volume market.

Trader consensus gives an 86% implied probability to NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte as the likeliest figure President Trump will engage in a verifiable phone call, meeting, or interview by March 31, reflecting Rutte's March 22 CBS disclosure of multiple recent conversations with Trump, coupled with his March 26 praise for Trump's role in strengthening NATO defense spending amid alliance debates over supporting US operations in the Iran conflict. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman trades at 47%, buoyed by reports of regular calls urging harsher Iran measures and Trump's March 27 keynote at the Saudi-backed Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami. With three days left, late-breaking diplomacy on Iran or NATO could pivot odds in this $294K volume market.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus gives an 86% implied probability to NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte as the likeliest figure President Trump will engage in a verifiable phone call, meeting, or interview by March 31, reflecting Rutte's March 22 CBS disclosure of multiple recent conversations with Trump, coupled with his March 26 praise for Trump's role in strengthening NATO defense spending amid alliance debates over supporting US operations in the Iran conflict. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman trades at 47%, buoyed by reports of regular calls urging harsher Iran measures and Trump's March 27 keynote at the Saudi-backed Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami. With three days left, late-breaking diplomacy on Iran or NATO could pivot odds in this $294K volume market.

Trader consensus gives an 86% implied probability to NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte as the likeliest figure President Trump will engage in a verifiable phone call, meeting, or interview by March 31, reflecting Rutte's March 22 CBS disclosure of multiple recent conversations with Trump, coupled with his March 26 praise for Trump's role in strengthening NATO defense spending amid alliance debates over supporting US operations in the Iran conflict. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman trades at 47%, buoyed by reports of regular calls urging harsher Iran measures and Trump's March 27 keynote at the Saudi-backed Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami. With three days left, late-breaking diplomacy on Iran or NATO could pivot odds in this $294K volume market.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？」はPolymarket上の19個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フリードリヒ・メルツ」で100%、次いで「マリア・コリナ・マチャド」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？」は$296.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている19個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「フリードリヒ・メルツ」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マリア・コリナ・マチャド」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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