Polymarket traders price Trump's April 3 approval rating in a tight cluster around 39-40%, with <39% edging out at 47.5% implied probability, <39.0 (47.5%) leading narrowly over narrow ranges like 39.0-39.4% (40.5%) and 40.0-40.4% (41.0%). Recent polling trends drive this contest: a Reuters/Ipsos survey on April 1 pegged approval at 39%, down from late-March highs near 42% in Gallup and YouGov trackers, as independents soured on tariff proposals and DOGE-led federal cuts despite solid GOP base support from immigration enforcement announcements. No decisive catalyst emerged in the past 48 hours, leaving sentiment balanced; the April 4 jobs report or executive actions could tip the balance toward separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Trump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
40.0–40.4 39%
39.5–39.9 38%
40.5–40.9 36%
39.0–39.4 30%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
20%
39.0–39.4
30%
39.5–39.9
38%
40.0–40.4
39%
40.5–40.9
36%
41.0+
9%
40.0–40.4 39%
39.5–39.9 38%
40.5–40.9 36%
39.0–39.4 30%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
$6 Vol.
20%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
30%
39.5–39.9
$0 Vol.
38%
40.0–40.4
$0 Vol.
39%
40.5–40.9
$0 Vol.
36%
41.0+
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price Trump's April 3 approval rating in a tight cluster around 39-40%, with <39% edging out at 47.5% implied probability, <39.0 (47.5%) leading narrowly over narrow ranges like 39.0-39.4% (40.5%) and 40.0-40.4% (41.0%). Recent polling trends drive this contest: a Reuters/Ipsos survey on April 1 pegged approval at 39%, down from late-March highs near 42% in Gallup and YouGov trackers, as independents soured on tariff proposals and DOGE-led federal cuts despite solid GOP base support from immigration enforcement announcements. No decisive catalyst emerged in the past 48 hours, leaving sentiment balanced; the April 4 jobs report or executive actions could tip the balance toward separation.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
音量
$6終了日
Apr 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price Trump's April 3 approval rating in a tight cluster around 39-40%, with <39% edging out at 47.5% implied probability, <39.0 (47.5%) leading narrowly over narrow ranges like 39.0-39.4% (40.5%) and 40.0-40.4% (41.0%). Recent polling trends drive this contest: a Reuters/Ipsos survey on April 1 pegged approval at 39%, down from late-March highs near 42% in Gallup and YouGov trackers, as independents soured on tariff proposals and DOGE-led federal cuts despite solid GOP base support from immigration enforcement announcements. No decisive catalyst emerged in the past 48 hours, leaving sentiment balanced; the April 4 jobs report or executive actions could tip the balance toward separation.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$6終了日
Apr 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price Trump's April 3 approval rating in a tight cluster around 39-40%, with <39% edging out at 47.5% implied probability, <39.0 (47.5%) leading narrowly over narrow ranges like 39.0-39.4% (40.5%) and 40.0-40.4% (41.0%). Recent polling trends drive this contest: a Reuters/Ipsos survey on April 1 pegged approval at 39%, down from late-March highs near 42% in Gallup and YouGov trackers, as independents soured on tariff proposals and DOGE-led federal cuts despite solid GOP base support from immigration enforcement announcements. No decisive catalyst emerged in the past 48 hours, leaving sentiment balanced; the April 4 jobs report or executive actions could tip the balance toward separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問