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政治·トランプ大統領

2026年、トランプ大統領の支持率はどの程度になるでしょうか？

Market icon
政治·トランプ大統領

2026年、トランプ大統領の支持率はどの程度になるでしょうか？

Dec 31

Dec 31

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$2,735 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 44%

$2,424 Vol.

15%

↑ 45％

$0 Vol.

12%

↑ 46％

$312 Vol.

8%

↑ 47％

$0 Vol.

5%

↑ 48%

$0 Vol.

7%

↑ 49％

$0 Vol.

4%

↑ 50％

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to new second-term lows in late March 2026 polls, averaging 36-41% approve amid surging fuel prices, persistent inflation concerns, and declining support for U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict, per Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, and Silver Bulletin trackers. Net approval stands at -17 to -18, with independents at a stark -38, reflecting voter frustration on economy and foreign policy despite strengths in border security. Traders weigh potential rebounds from economic data releases, diplomatic progress, or midterm dynamics against entrenched headwinds, as the market tracks peak ratings via Silver Bulletin through year-end. Upcoming congressional budget battles and policy deadlines could sway sentiment further.

President Trump's approval rating has plunged to new second-term lows in late March 2026 polls, averaging 36-41% approve amid surging fuel prices, persistent inflation concerns, and declining support for U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict, per Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, and Silver Bulletin trackers. Net approval stands at -17 to -18, with independents at a stark -38, reflecting voter frustration on economy and foreign policy despite strengths in border security. Traders weigh potential rebounds from economic data releases, diplomatic progress, or midterm dynamics against entrenched headwinds, as the market tracks peak ratings via Silver Bulletin through year-end. Upcoming congressional budget battles and policy deadlines could sway sentiment further.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to new second-term lows in late March 2026 polls, averaging 36-41% approve amid surging fuel prices, persistent inflation concerns, and declining support for U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict, per Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, and Silver Bulletin trackers. Net approval stands at -17 to -18, with independents at a stark -38, reflecting voter frustration on economy and foreign policy despite strengths in border security. Traders weigh potential rebounds from economic data releases, diplomatic progress, or midterm dynamics against entrenched headwinds, as the market tracks peak ratings via Silver Bulletin through year-end. Upcoming congressional budget battles and policy deadlines could sway sentiment further.

President Trump's approval rating has plunged to new second-term lows in late March 2026 polls, averaging 36-41% approve amid surging fuel prices, persistent inflation concerns, and declining support for U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict, per Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, and Silver Bulletin trackers. Net approval stands at -17 to -18, with independents at a stark -38, reflecting voter frustration on economy and foreign policy despite strengths in border security. Traders weigh potential rebounds from economic data releases, diplomatic progress, or midterm dynamics against entrenched headwinds, as the market tracks peak ratings via Silver Bulletin through year-end. Upcoming congressional budget battles and policy deadlines could sway sentiment further.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

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「2026年、トランプ大統領の支持率はどの程度になるでしょうか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 12, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「2026年、トランプ大統領の支持率はどの程度になるでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ 44%」で14%であり、市場がこの結果に14%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑ 45％」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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