Trader consensus prices Ted Cruz's X posts from March 31 to April 7 evenly across 80-99, 100-119, and 120-139 at 54.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting his consistent rhythm of 10-15 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily on @tedcruz—excluding replies—as evidenced by over 10 posts on March 27 alone amid DHS funding resolutions ending airport chaos, Senate Judiciary hearings on the Arctic Frost scandal, and lighter pop culture engagements. This tight clustering stems from steady week-to-week variance tied to Senate schedules, recent CPAC attendance (March 25-28), and podcast promotions like Verdict with Ted Cruz, without major disruptions. Separation could arise from intensified MLB commentary during Houston Astros games starting early April, additional hearings, or travel reducing output.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日80-99 46%
100-119 46%
120-139 46%
140-159 43%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
<20
41%
20-39
41%
40-59
41%
60-79
41%
80-99
46%
100-119
46%
120-139
46%
140-159
43%
160-179
41%
180-199
41%
200+
41%
80-99 46%
100-119 46%
120-139 46%
140-159 43%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
<20
$20 Vol.
41%
20-39
$20 Vol.
41%
40-59
$20 Vol.
41%
60-79
$0 Vol.
41%
80-99
$0 Vol.
46%
100-119
$0 Vol.
46%
120-139
$0 Vol.
46%
140-159
$0 Vol.
43%
160-179
$0 Vol.
41%
180-199
$20 Vol.
41%
200+
$20 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices Ted Cruz's X posts from March 31 to April 7 evenly across 80-99, 100-119, and 120-139 at 54.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting his consistent rhythm of 10-15 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily on @tedcruz—excluding replies—as evidenced by over 10 posts on March 27 alone amid DHS funding resolutions ending airport chaos, Senate Judiciary hearings on the Arctic Frost scandal, and lighter pop culture engagements. This tight clustering stems from steady week-to-week variance tied to Senate schedules, recent CPAC attendance (March 25-28), and podcast promotions like Verdict with Ted Cruz, without major disruptions. Separation could arise from intensified MLB commentary during Houston Astros games starting early April, additional hearings, or travel reducing output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$101終了日
Apr 7, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices Ted Cruz's X posts from March 31 to April 7 evenly across 80-99, 100-119, and 120-139 at 54.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting his consistent rhythm of 10-15 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily on @tedcruz—excluding replies—as evidenced by over 10 posts on March 27 alone amid DHS funding resolutions ending airport chaos, Senate Judiciary hearings on the Arctic Frost scandal, and lighter pop culture engagements. This tight clustering stems from steady week-to-week variance tied to Senate schedules, recent CPAC attendance (March 25-28), and podcast promotions like Verdict with Ted Cruz, without major disruptions. Separation could arise from intensified MLB commentary during Houston Astros games starting early April, additional hearings, or travel reducing output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$101終了日
Apr 7, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Ted Cruz's X posts from March 31 to April 7 evenly across 80-99, 100-119, and 120-139 at 54.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting his consistent rhythm of 10-15 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily on @tedcruz—excluding replies—as evidenced by over 10 posts on March 27 alone amid DHS funding resolutions ending airport chaos, Senate Judiciary hearings on the Arctic Frost scandal, and lighter pop culture engagements. This tight clustering stems from steady week-to-week variance tied to Senate schedules, recent CPAC attendance (March 25-28), and podcast promotions like Verdict with Ted Cruz, without major disruptions. Separation could arise from intensified MLB commentary during Houston Astros games starting early April, additional hearings, or travel reducing output.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問