Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability for over 500 US flight cancellations on March 29, driven by improving weather patterns after mid-March storms that spiked cancellations above 3,000 on March 16 amid blizzards and thunderstorms across the East Coast and Midwest. The FAA's March 27 air traffic report flags only potential delays from high winds in New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms near Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), but no widespread ground stops or severe disruptions forecast. Ongoing spring break travel volumes and TSA staffing strains have caused recent delays—1,198 global cancellations reported March 27—but absent acute pilot shortages or airline strikes, traders anticipate normalized daily operations under the 500 threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
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Mar 29, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability for over 500 US flight cancellations on March 29, driven by improving weather patterns after mid-March storms that spiked cancellations above 3,000 on March 16 amid blizzards and thunderstorms across the East Coast and Midwest. The FAA's March 27 air traffic report flags only potential delays from high winds in New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms near Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), but no widespread ground stops or severe disruptions forecast. Ongoing spring break travel volumes and TSA staffing strains have caused recent delays—1,198 global cancellations reported March 27—but absent acute pilot shortages or airline strikes, traders anticipate normalized daily operations under the 500 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability for over 500 US flight cancellations on March 29, driven by improving weather patterns after mid-March storms that spiked cancellations above 3,000 on March 16 amid blizzards and thunderstorms across the East Coast and Midwest. The FAA's March 27 air traffic report flags only potential delays from high winds in New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms near Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), but no widespread ground stops or severe disruptions forecast. Ongoing spring break travel volumes and TSA staffing strains have caused recent delays—1,198 global cancellations reported March 27—but absent acute pilot shortages or airline strikes, traders anticipate normalized daily operations under the 500 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
音量
$0終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability for over 500 US flight cancellations on March 29, driven by improving weather patterns after mid-March storms that spiked cancellations above 3,000 on March 16 amid blizzards and thunderstorms across the East Coast and Midwest. The FAA's March 27 air traffic report flags only potential delays from high winds in New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms near Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), but no widespread ground stops or severe disruptions forecast. Ongoing spring break travel volumes and TSA staffing strains have caused recent delays—1,198 global cancellations reported March 27—but absent acute pilot shortages or airline strikes, traders anticipate normalized daily operations under the 500 threshold.
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