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3月31日までに、誰が2026年国土安全保障省歳出法に「はい」を投票しますか?

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3月31日までに、誰が2026年国土安全保障省歳出法に「はい」を投票しますか?

$72,115 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$72,115 Vol.

Polymarket
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キャサリン・コルテス・マスト

$0 Vol.

27%

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マーク・ワーナー

$20 Vol.

24%

Market icon

パティ・マレー

$11,380 Vol.

18%

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マイク・リー

$586 Vol.

16%

Market icon

ティム・ケイン

$1,795 Vol.

8%

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マギー・ハッサン

$2,580 Vol.

8%

Market icon

ジャッキー・ローゼン

$363 Vol.

8%

Market icon

ジャーン・シャヒーン

$649 Vol.

8%

Market icon

アンガス・キング

$1,272 Vol.

7%

Market icon

トム・ティリス

$3,188 Vol.

4%

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スーザン・コリンズ

$2,506 Vol.

4%

Market icon

クリス・クーンズ

$2,296 Vol.

4%

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リサ・マーカウスキー

$2,774 Vol.

4%

Market icon

バーニー・サンダース

$14,272 Vol.

3%

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エイミー・クロブシャー

$3,946 Vol.

3%

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リック・スコット

$1,863 Vol.

8%

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ロン・ジョンソン

$3,347 Vol.

3%

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クリス・マーフィー

$1,589 Vol.

3%

Market icon

ランド・ポール

$2,396 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ディック・ダービン

$5,824 Vol.

2%

Market icon

チャック・シューマー

$1,762 Vol.

2%

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キルステン・ジリブランド

$3,282 Vol.

2%

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ジョン・フェッターマン

$4,424 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed U.S. senator votes "Yea" on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, during the first roll-call vote on passage in the U.S. Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law. Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution. Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over six weeks since funding lapsed on February 14, 2026, drives intense negotiations on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, amid partisan disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and Border Patrol. The House passed standalone full-year bills multiple times, including H.R. 7744 (221-209 on March 5) and a third measure (218-206 on March 26), but Senate cloture motions have repeatedly failed, such as 53-47 on H.R. 7147 this week. Senate Republicans advanced partial funding excluding enforcement operations via voice vote on March 27. With bipartisan talks stalling and a two-week recess looming after March 31, a final cloture vote or compromise could determine yea votes on full appropriations.

The ongoing partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over six weeks since funding lapsed on February 14, 2026, drives intense negotiations on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, amid partisan disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and Border Patrol. The House passed standalone full-year bills multiple times, including H.R. 7744 (221-209 on March 5) and a third measure (218-206 on March 26), but Senate cloture motions have repeatedly failed, such as 53-47 on H.R. 7147 this week. Senate Republicans advanced partial funding excluding enforcement operations via voice vote on March 27. With bipartisan talks stalling and a two-week recess looming after March 31, a final cloture vote or compromise could determine yea votes on full appropriations.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed U.S. senator votes "Yea" on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, during the first roll-call vote on passage in the U.S. Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law. Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution. Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over six weeks since funding lapsed on February 14, 2026, drives intense negotiations on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, amid partisan disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and Border Patrol. The House passed standalone full-year bills multiple times, including H.R. 7744 (221-209 on March 5) and a third measure (218-206 on March 26), but Senate cloture motions have repeatedly failed, such as 53-47 on H.R. 7147 this week. Senate Republicans advanced partial funding excluding enforcement operations via voice vote on March 27. With bipartisan talks stalling and a two-week recess looming after March 31, a final cloture vote or compromise could determine yea votes on full appropriations.

The ongoing partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over six weeks since funding lapsed on February 14, 2026, drives intense negotiations on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, amid partisan disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and Border Patrol. The House passed standalone full-year bills multiple times, including H.R. 7744 (221-209 on March 5) and a third measure (218-206 on March 26), but Senate cloture motions have repeatedly failed, such as 53-47 on H.R. 7147 this week. Senate Republicans advanced partial funding excluding enforcement operations via voice vote on March 27. With bipartisan talks stalling and a two-week recess looming after March 31, a final cloture vote or compromise could determine yea votes on full appropriations.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月31日までに、誰が2026年国土安全保障省歳出法に「はい」を投票しますか?」はPolymarket上の23個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「キャサリン・コルテス・マスト」で27%、次いで「マーク・ワーナー」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、27¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に27%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月31日までに、誰が2026年国土安全保障省歳出法に「はい」を投票しますか?」は$72.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月31日までに、誰が2026年国土安全保障省歳出法に「はい」を投票しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている23個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月31日までに、誰が2026年国土安全保障省歳出法に「はい」を投票しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「キャサリン・コルテス・マスト」で27%であり、市場がこの結果に27%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マーク・ワーナー」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月31日までに、誰が2026年国土安全保障省歳出法に「はい」を投票しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。