Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 27 clusters tightly around 5,000-5,500 (54%) and above 6,000 (49.5%), driven by spring break peak travel volumes coinciding with volatile East Coast weather forecasts, including potential thunderstorms and wind shear. Yesterday's 5,200 delays—elevated by FAA air traffic control bottlenecks at major hubs like Atlanta and Chicago—set a high baseline, while improving conditions in the Midwest offer counterbalance. Historical Thursday averages hover near 4,800, but recent FAA staffing strains and ground stop frequency keep upside risks alive. Evolving National Weather Service updates or midday FAA advisories could tip odds toward higher bins if disruptions intensify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
5,000-5,500 54%
>6,000 50%
5,500-6,000 48%
4,500-5,000 48%
$353 Vol.
$353 Vol.
<3,000
30%
3,000-3,500
8%
3,500-4,000
44%
4,000-4,500
45%
4,500-5,000
48%
5,000-5,500
54%
5,500-6,000
48%
>6,000
50%
5,000-5,500 54%
>6,000 50%
5,500-6,000 48%
4,500-5,000 48%
$353 Vol.
$353 Vol.
<3,000
30%
3,000-3,500
8%
3,500-4,000
44%
4,000-4,500
45%
4,500-5,000
48%
5,000-5,500
54%
5,500-6,000
48%
>6,000
50%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日: Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 27 clusters tightly around 5,000-5,500 (54%) and above 6,000 (49.5%), driven by spring break peak travel volumes coinciding with volatile East Coast weather forecasts, including potential thunderstorms and wind shear. Yesterday's 5,200 delays—elevated by FAA air traffic control bottlenecks at major hubs like Atlanta and Chicago—set a high baseline, while improving conditions in the Midwest offer counterbalance. Historical Thursday averages hover near 4,800, but recent FAA staffing strains and ground stop frequency keep upside risks alive. Evolving National Weather Service updates or midday FAA advisories could tip odds toward higher bins if disruptions intensify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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