Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight competition among mid-range outcomes for Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, driven by his historically variable posting frequency averaging 12-18 daily amid news cycles, with recent activity elevated by Iran Strait of Hormuz threats and postponed China summit talks. No single bin leads decisively as late-night sprees—like the early morning barrage six days ago—and presidential travel, including the March 31-April 2 Beijing visit amid trade tensions, create uncertainty on volume. Escalation in foreign policy disputes, CPAC reactions through March 28, or summit announcements could spike posts toward 100+, while a quieter schedule might pull below 80.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日80〜99 50%
100〜119 50%
60〜79 41.5%
120〜139 41%
20未満
1%
20〜39
1%
40〜59
3%
60〜79
42%
80〜99
50%
100〜119
50%
120〜139
41%
140~159
26%
160〜179
26%
180~199
41%
200以上
8%
80〜99 50%
100〜119 50%
60〜79 41.5%
120〜139 41%
20未満
1%
20〜39
1%
40〜59
3%
60〜79
42%
80〜99
50%
100〜119
50%
120〜139
41%
140~159
26%
160〜179
26%
180~199
41%
200以上
8%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight competition among mid-range outcomes for Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, driven by his historically variable posting frequency averaging 12-18 daily amid news cycles, with recent activity elevated by Iran Strait of Hormuz threats and postponed China summit talks. No single bin leads decisively as late-night sprees—like the early morning barrage six days ago—and presidential travel, including the March 31-April 2 Beijing visit amid trade tensions, create uncertainty on volume. Escalation in foreign policy disputes, CPAC reactions through March 28, or summit announcements could spike posts toward 100+, while a quieter schedule might pull below 80.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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