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政治·トランプ

What will Trump say in April?

Market icon
政治·トランプ

What will Trump say in April?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$299 Vol.

Polymarket

N Word

$26 Vol.

14%

Reverse Migration

$0 Vol.

42%

White House Doctor

$5 Vol.

44%

Love Trump / Loves Trump

$5 Vol.

50%

RINO / Republican in Name Only

$0 Vol.

44%

Trump Was Right About Everything

$0 Vol.

49%

Discombobulator / Discombobulated

$5 Vol.

53%

Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov

$0 Vol.

41%

Peacefully and Patriotically

$0 Vol.

43%

Kennedy Center

$0 Vol.

65%

Jesus

$47 Vol.

68%

Dog

$5 Vol.

47%

Gulf of Trump

$0 Vol.

41%

America Last

$0 Vol.

45%

Operation Epic Fury

$20 Vol.

80%

Toronto

$0 Vol.

44%

Our great First Lady

$5 Vol.

54%

Trump Time

$0 Vol.

44%

Big League

$0 Vol.

41%

Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen

$0 Vol.

47%

Palestine

$0 Vol.

65%

Two Genders

$0 Vol.

48%

United States Armed Forces

$0 Vol.

51%

Maduro

$129 Vol.

73%

MVP

$0 Vol.

44%

Cocktail

$0 Vol.

48%

Dead by June

$0 Vol.

42%

Kim Jong Un

$0 Vol.

44%

Fuck / Fucking / Fucked

$0 Vol.

47%

Coward

$5 Vol.

57%

Mustache

$0 Vol.

42%

Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomeini

$0 Vol.

61%

Braggadocious

$0 Vol.

40%

Paper Clip

$0 Vol.

41%

Mar-a-Lago

$5 Vol.

59%

Sovereign / Sovereignty

$0 Vol.

41%

Gulf of America

$0 Vol.

53%

Six Seven

$0 Vol.

53%

Gay

$0 Vol.

65%

Crooked

$25 Vol.

76%

Disgusting

$18 Vol.

65%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's repeated mentions of Operation Epic Fury—the U.S. military campaign against Iran launched February 28—drive trader focus after his March 23 Truth Social post postponing strikes on Iranian power plants amid "productive" talks, signaling potential de-escalation while sustaining rhetorical emphasis on the operation. Recent White House speeches on agriculture and at the Saudi Investors Forum reinforced foreign policy themes, alongside criticisms of legal battles like the New York hush money trial set for jury selection April 15. Traders eye unscripted phrasing at the NRA Annual Meetings in Houston April 16-19 and possible rallies, where signature insults and boasts historically recur, shaping crowd-sourced probabilities for specific statements by April 30 resolution.

President Trump's repeated mentions of Operation Epic Fury—the U.S. military campaign against Iran launched February 28—drive trader focus after his March 23 Truth Social post postponing strikes on Iranian power plants amid "productive" talks, signaling potential de-escalation while sustaining rhetorical emphasis on the operation. Recent White House speeches on agriculture and at the Saudi Investors Forum reinforced foreign policy themes, alongside criticisms of legal battles like the New York hush money trial set for jury selection April 15. Traders eye unscripted phrasing at the NRA Annual Meetings in Houston April 16-19 and possible rallies, where signature insults and boasts historically recur, shaping crowd-sourced probabilities for specific statements by April 30 resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's repeated mentions of Operation Epic Fury—the U.S. military campaign against Iran launched February 28—drive trader focus after his March 23 Truth Social post postponing strikes on Iranian power plants amid "productive" talks, signaling potential de-escalation while sustaining rhetorical emphasis on the operation. Recent White House speeches on agriculture and at the Saudi Investors Forum reinforced foreign policy themes, alongside criticisms of legal battles like the New York hush money trial set for jury selection April 15. Traders eye unscripted phrasing at the NRA Annual Meetings in Houston April 16-19 and possible rallies, where signature insults and boasts historically recur, shaping crowd-sourced probabilities for specific statements by April 30 resolution.

President Trump's repeated mentions of Operation Epic Fury—the U.S. military campaign against Iran launched February 28—drive trader focus after his March 23 Truth Social post postponing strikes on Iranian power plants amid "productive" talks, signaling potential de-escalation while sustaining rhetorical emphasis on the operation. Recent White House speeches on agriculture and at the Saudi Investors Forum reinforced foreign policy themes, alongside criticisms of legal battles like the New York hush money trial set for jury selection April 15. Traders eye unscripted phrasing at the NRA Annual Meetings in Houston April 16-19 and possible rallies, where signature insults and boasts historically recur, shaping crowd-sourced probabilities for specific statements by April 30 resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「What will Trump say in April?」はPolymarket上の41+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Operation Epic Fury」で80%、次いで「Crooked」が76%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、80¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に80%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「What will Trump say in April?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「What will Trump say in April?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている41+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「What will Trump say in April?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Operation Epic Fury」で80%であり、市場がこの結果に80%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Crooked」で76%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「What will Trump say in April?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。