Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the overwhelming favorite at 57% to be the next Trump Cabinet member to depart, amid escalating internal turmoil at the Department of Labor including top aides' resignations on March 3 following a White House ultimatum and an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, plus her security detail's March 19 exit over an inappropriate relationship claim. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 11.8% after a top aide's resignation tied to Iran intelligence handling and recent calls for her dismissal during March 18 Senate testimony. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sits at 7.9% despite ongoing controversies like blocking promotions and war rhetoric, while "None before 2027" at 7.4% reflects the administration's year-plus tenure without prior exits, though probes could accelerate turnover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ローリ・チャベス＝デリマー 57%
トゥルシ・ギャバード 12.0%
ピート・ヘグセス 7.9%
2027年以前はなし 7.3%
$2,226,539 Vol.
$2,226,539 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
ローリ・チャベス＝デリマー
57%
トゥルシ・ギャバード
12%
ピート・ヘグセス
8%
2027年以前はなし
7%
ハワード・ラトニック
3%
マイク・ウォルツ
2%
スコット・ベッセント
2%
ラッセル・T・ヴォート
2%
J.D.バンス
2%
ダグ・コリンズ
2%
ブルック・ローリンズ
2%
リー・ゼルディン
1%
ショーン・ダフィー
1%
ダグ・バーガム
1%
スコット・ターナー
1%
パム・ボンディ
1%
マルコ・ルビオ
1%
ロバート・F・ケネディ・ジュニア
1%
スージー・ワイルズ
1%
ジャミーソン・グリアー
1%
ケリー・ロフラー
1%
リンダ・マクマホン
1%
ジョン・ラトクリフ
1%
クリス・ライト
1%
ローリ・チャベス＝デリマー 57%
トゥルシ・ギャバード 12.0%
ピート・ヘグセス 7.9%
2027年以前はなし 7.3%
$2,226,539 Vol.
$2,226,539 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
ローリ・チャベス＝デリマー
$73,296 Vol.
57%
トゥルシ・ギャバード
$726,971 Vol.
12%
ピート・ヘグセス
$513,459 Vol.
8%
2027年以前はなし
$616,585 Vol.
7%
ハワード・ラトニック
$26,207 Vol.
3%
マイク・ウォルツ
$4,379 Vol.
2%
スコット・ベッセント
$4,573 Vol.
2%
ラッセル・T・ヴォート
$4,146 Vol.
2%
J.D.バンス
$7,197 Vol.
2%
ダグ・コリンズ
$3,527 Vol.
2%
ブルック・ローリンズ
$6,770 Vol.
2%
リー・ゼルディン
$70,520 Vol.
1%
ショーン・ダフィー
$67,269 Vol.
1%
ダグ・バーガム
$6,065 Vol.
1%
スコット・ターナー
$5,646 Vol.
1%
パム・ボンディ
$4,128 Vol.
1%
マルコ・ルビオ
$50,572 Vol.
1%
ロバート・F・ケネディ・ジュニア
$3,565 Vol.
1%
スージー・ワイルズ
$4,861 Vol.
1%
ジャミーソン・グリアー
$4,846 Vol.
1%
ケリー・ロフラー
$3,960 Vol.
1%
リンダ・マクマホン
$9,822 Vol.
1%
ジョン・ラトクリフ
$4,146 Vol.
1%
クリス・ライト
$4,028 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the overwhelming favorite at 57% to be the next Trump Cabinet member to depart, amid escalating internal turmoil at the Department of Labor including top aides' resignations on March 3 following a White House ultimatum and an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, plus her security detail's March 19 exit over an inappropriate relationship claim. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 11.8% after a top aide's resignation tied to Iran intelligence handling and recent calls for her dismissal during March 18 Senate testimony. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sits at 7.9% despite ongoing controversies like blocking promotions and war rhetoric, while "None before 2027" at 7.4% reflects the administration's year-plus tenure without prior exits, though probes could accelerate turnover.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
音量
$2,226,539終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the overwhelming favorite at 57% to be the next Trump Cabinet member to depart, amid escalating internal turmoil at the Department of Labor including top aides' resignations on March 3 following a White House ultimatum and an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, plus her security detail's March 19 exit over an inappropriate relationship claim. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 11.8% after a top aide's resignation tied to Iran intelligence handling and recent calls for her dismissal during March 18 Senate testimony. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sits at 7.9% despite ongoing controversies like blocking promotions and war rhetoric, while "None before 2027" at 7.4% reflects the administration's year-plus tenure without prior exits, though probes could accelerate turnover.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
音量
$2,226,539終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the overwhelming favorite at 57% to be the next Trump Cabinet member to depart, amid escalating internal turmoil at the Department of Labor including top aides' resignations on March 3 following a White House ultimatum and an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, plus her security detail's March 19 exit over an inappropriate relationship claim. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 11.8% after a top aide's resignation tied to Iran intelligence handling and recent calls for her dismissal during March 18 Senate testimony. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sits at 7.9% despite ongoing controversies like blocking promotions and war rhetoric, while "None before 2027" at 7.4% reflects the administration's year-plus tenure without prior exits, though probes could accelerate turnover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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