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政治·キャビネット

パム・ボンダイは3月31日までに司法長官に就任しますか？

Market icon
政治·キャビネット

パム・ボンダイは3月31日までに司法長官に就任しますか？

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$137,566 Vol.

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$137,566 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi ceases to be the US Attorney General for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Bondi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's November nomination of Pam Bondi, former Florida Attorney General, for U.S. Attorney General has encountered no significant opposition, bolstering trader consensus at 99.3% against her departure by March 31. With Republicans holding a 53-47 Senate majority, her January 15 confirmation hearing before the Senate Judiciary Committee is expected to proceed smoothly, following the precedent of prior Trump nominees. Bondi's extensive prosecutorial experience and lack of controversies reduce removal risks post-confirmation, even after inauguration on January 20. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen scandals, procedural holds, or bipartisan pushback during floor votes, though current reporting shows unified GOP support and no delays signaled.

Trump's November nomination of Pam Bondi, former Florida Attorney General, for U.S. Attorney General has encountered no significant opposition, bolstering trader consensus at 99.3% against her departure by March 31. With Republicans holding a 53-47 Senate majority, her January 15 confirmation hearing before the Senate Judiciary Committee is expected to proceed smoothly, following the precedent of prior Trump nominees. Bondi's extensive prosecutorial experience and lack of controversies reduce removal risks post-confirmation, even after inauguration on January 20. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen scandals, procedural holds, or bipartisan pushback during floor votes, though current reporting shows unified GOP support and no delays signaled.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi ceases to be the US Attorney General for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Bondi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's November nomination of Pam Bondi, former Florida Attorney General, for U.S. Attorney General has encountered no significant opposition, bolstering trader consensus at 99.3% against her departure by March 31. With Republicans holding a 53-47 Senate majority, her January 15 confirmation hearing before the Senate Judiciary Committee is expected to proceed smoothly, following the precedent of prior Trump nominees. Bondi's extensive prosecutorial experience and lack of controversies reduce removal risks post-confirmation, even after inauguration on January 20. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen scandals, procedural holds, or bipartisan pushback during floor votes, though current reporting shows unified GOP support and no delays signaled.

Trump's November nomination of Pam Bondi, former Florida Attorney General, for U.S. Attorney General has encountered no significant opposition, bolstering trader consensus at 99.3% against her departure by March 31. With Republicans holding a 53-47 Senate majority, her January 15 confirmation hearing before the Senate Judiciary Committee is expected to proceed smoothly, following the precedent of prior Trump nominees. Bondi's extensive prosecutorial experience and lack of controversies reduce removal risks post-confirmation, even after inauguration on January 20. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen scandals, procedural holds, or bipartisan pushback during floor votes, though current reporting shows unified GOP support and no delays signaled.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「パム・ボンダイは3月31日までに司法長官に就任しますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「パム・ボンディは3月31日までに司法長官を辞任するのか？」で1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「パム・ボンダイは3月31日までに司法長官に就任しますか？」は$137.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「パム・ボンダイは3月31日までに司法長官に就任しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「パム・ボンダイは3月31日までに司法長官に就任しますか？」の現在のリーダーは「パム・ボンディは3月31日までに司法長官を辞任するのか？」でわずか1%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「パム・ボンダイは3月31日までに司法長官に就任しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。