Traders overwhelmingly back no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 76%, reflecting the Ukraine war's deep stalemate and irreconcilable demands: Zelenskyy insists on full Russian troop withdrawal and reparations, while Putin requires recognition of annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas. Recent escalations, including North Korean troops aiding Russia and Ukrainian Kursk incursions, have hardened positions, with no diplomatic breakthroughs since Switzerland's June peace summit—boycotted by Moscow. Neutral venues like Qatar/UAE (3.2%) or Turkey (3.0%) linger as longshots due to past mediation roles in grain deals, but lack momentum amid mutual preconditions. US (2.5%) odds tie to potential Trump administration diplomacy post-inauguration, though historical NATO-Russia tensions persist. Upcoming NATO summits or UN sessions offer slim windows, but entrenched military actions dominate trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年以前に会談なし 76%
カタール / UAE 3.1%
トルコ 3.0%
米国 2.6%
$1,486,550 Vol.
$1,486,550 Vol.

2027年以前に会談なし
76%

カタール / UAE
3%

トルコ
3%

米国
3%

ハンガリー
2%

スイス
2%

サウジアラビア
2%

ロシア
2%

ベラルーシ
1%

イタリア/バチカン
1%

カザフスタン
1%

中国
1%

ウクライナ
1%

インド
1%
2027年以前に会談なし 76%
カタール / UAE 3.1%
トルコ 3.0%
米国 2.6%
$1,486,550 Vol.
$1,486,550 Vol.

2027年以前に会談なし
76%

カタール / UAE
3%

トルコ
3%

米国
3%

ハンガリー
2%

スイス
2%

サウジアラビア
2%

ロシア
2%

ベラルーシ
1%

イタリア/バチカン
1%

カザフスタン
1%

中国
1%

ウクライナ
1%

インド
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly back no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 76%, reflecting the Ukraine war's deep stalemate and irreconcilable demands: Zelenskyy insists on full Russian troop withdrawal and reparations, while Putin requires recognition of annexed territories like Crimea and Donbas. Recent escalations, including North Korean troops aiding Russia and Ukrainian Kursk incursions, have hardened positions, with no diplomatic breakthroughs since Switzerland's June peace summit—boycotted by Moscow. Neutral venues like Qatar/UAE (3.2%) or Turkey (3.0%) linger as longshots due to past mediation roles in grain deals, but lack momentum amid mutual preconditions. US (2.5%) odds tie to potential Trump administration diplomacy post-inauguration, though historical NATO-Russia tensions persist. Upcoming NATO summits or UN sessions offer slim windows, but entrenched military actions dominate trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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