Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,778,621 Vol.
2026/03/31
3月15日
いいえ
3月31日
いいえ
4月10日
いいえ
4月11日
はい
4月12日
はい
4月13日
はい
4月14日
はい
4月15日
はい
4月30日
はい
5月31日
はい
6月15日
はい
6月30日
はい
$10,778,621 Vol.
3月15日
$245,591 Vol.
いいえ
3月31日
$739,420 Vol.
いいえ
4月10日
$7,115,645 Vol.
いいえ
4月11日
$587,177 Vol.
はい
4月12日
$70,246 Vol.
はい
4月13日
$32,638 Vol.
はい
4月14日
$24,118 Vol.
はい
4月15日
$719,631 Vol.
はい
4月30日
$946,176 Vol.
はい
5月31日
$53,709 Vol.
はい
6月15日
$46,741 Vol.
はい
6月30日
$197,530 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
音量
$10,778,621終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$10,778,621終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問