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政治·イースター

トランプ大統領は4月6日にホワイトハウスでイースターエッグを踊りますか？

Market icon
政治·イースター

トランプ大統領は4月6日にホワイトハウスでイースターエッグを踊りますか？

はい

75% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

75% 確率
Polymarket
新規
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the annual White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/white-house-easter-egg-roll/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. Trader consensus tilts toward yes at 58% implied probability for President Trump dancing at the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, driven by his precedent of performing the signature "Trump dance" at last year's event on April 21, 2025, where a child prompted him during the South Lawn festivities, prompting viral videos and crowd cheers. First Lady Melania Trump announced details for the 148th annual tradition in February, emphasizing family activities, with tickets awarded via lottery concluding March 4. Trump's frequent rally dances reinforce expectations in this lighthearted presidential tradition, though no 2026-specific plans have been confirmed, leaving room for event-day dynamics to sway the outcome.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the annual White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/white-house-easter-egg-roll/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
音量
$221
終了日
2026/04/06
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the annual White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/white-house-easter-egg-roll/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the annual White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/white-house-easter-egg-roll/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. Trader consensus tilts toward yes at 58% implied probability for President Trump dancing at the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, driven by his precedent of performing the signature "Trump dance" at last year's event on April 21, 2025, where a child prompted him during the South Lawn festivities, prompting viral videos and crowd cheers. First Lady Melania Trump announced details for the 148th annual tradition in February, emphasizing family activities, with tickets awarded via lottery concluding March 4. Trump's frequent rally dances reinforce expectations in this lighthearted presidential tradition, though no 2026-specific plans have been confirmed, leaving room for event-day dynamics to sway the outcome.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the annual White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/white-house-easter-egg-roll/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
音量
$221
終了日
2026/04/06
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the annual White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/white-house-easter-egg-roll/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は4月6日にホワイトハウスでイースターエッグを踊りますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプ氏は4月6日のホワイトハウス・イースターエッグロールで踊るのでしょうか？」で58%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、58¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に58%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ大統領は4月6日にホワイトハウスでイースターエッグを踊りますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ大統領は4月6日にホワイトハウスでイースターエッグを踊りますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は4月6日にホワイトハウスでイースターエッグを踊りますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「トランプ氏は4月6日のホワイトハウス・イースターエッグロールで踊るのでしょうか？」で58%であり、市場がこの結果に58%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は4月6日にホワイトハウスでイースターエッグを踊りますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。