Former President Donald Trump, frontrunning Republican presidential candidate after dominating Iowa and New Hampshire caucuses, faces Super Tuesday primaries on March 5 amid trader focus on his public statements. Recent legal developments, including a March 4 Georgia election interference hearing and ongoing federal indictments, have prompted Truth Social posts criticizing prosecutors and touting poll leads over Joe Biden. Campaign rallies in battleground states like North Carolina and Georgia this month could yield comments on immigration policy, economy, or rival Nikki Haley's path-to-victory challenges. With no confirmed major announcement, traders watch for post-primary reactions, endorsements, or legal updates that historically shift his rhetoric and influence implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$120,069 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Big Fat Cat
8%
N Word
3%
Hottest Nation
15%
Little Rocket Man
7%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
6%
Low Energy
13%
Aliens are Real
2%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
6%
Banana Republic
8%
Bitcoin
36%
Judy Shelton
3%
Secret Word
22%
Charlie Kirk
16%
War On Fraud
45%
Coward
36%
Capital of the World
22%
UFC Fight
23%
Liberation Day
14%
Snake
94%
Sudan
39%
Truth Social
32%
Erika Kirk
11%
Third term
14%
$120,069 Vol.
Big Fat Cat
$647 Vol.
8%
N Word
$30,675 Vol.
3%
Hottest Nation
$9,312 Vol.
15%
Little Rocket Man
$1,337 Vol.
7%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
$0 Vol.
6%
Low Energy
$3,383 Vol.
13%
Aliens are Real
$8,409 Vol.
2%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
$862 Vol.
6%
Banana Republic
$0 Vol.
8%
Bitcoin
$6,869 Vol.
36%
Judy Shelton
$1,701 Vol.
3%
Secret Word
$150 Vol.
22%
Charlie Kirk
$4,149 Vol.
16%
War On Fraud
$266 Vol.
45%
Coward
$4,779 Vol.
36%
Capital of the World
$351 Vol.
22%
UFC Fight
$0 Vol.
23%
Liberation Day
$462 Vol.
14%
Snake
$496 Vol.
94%
Sudan
$246 Vol.
39%
Truth Social
$0 Vol.
32%
Erika Kirk
$343 Vol.
11%
Third term
$16,525 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Former President Donald Trump, frontrunning Republican presidential candidate after dominating Iowa and New Hampshire caucuses, faces Super Tuesday primaries on March 5 amid trader focus on his public statements. Recent legal developments, including a March 4 Georgia election interference hearing and ongoing federal indictments, have prompted Truth Social posts criticizing prosecutors and touting poll leads over Joe Biden. Campaign rallies in battleground states like North Carolina and Georgia this month could yield comments on immigration policy, economy, or rival Nikki Haley's path-to-victory challenges. With no confirmed major announcement, traders watch for post-primary reactions, endorsements, or legal updates that historically shift his rhetoric and influence implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
マーケット開始日： Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$120,069終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Former President Donald Trump, frontrunning Republican presidential candidate after dominating Iowa and New Hampshire caucuses, faces Super Tuesday primaries on March 5 amid trader focus on his public statements. Recent legal developments, including a March 4 Georgia election interference hearing and ongoing federal indictments, have prompted Truth Social posts criticizing prosecutors and touting poll leads over Joe Biden. Campaign rallies in battleground states like North Carolina and Georgia this month could yield comments on immigration policy, economy, or rival Nikki Haley's path-to-victory challenges. With no confirmed major announcement, traders watch for post-primary reactions, endorsements, or legal updates that historically shift his rhetoric and influence implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$120,069終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former President Donald Trump, frontrunning Republican presidential candidate after dominating Iowa and New Hampshire caucuses, faces Super Tuesday primaries on March 5 amid trader focus on his public statements. Recent legal developments, including a March 4 Georgia election interference hearing and ongoing federal indictments, have prompted Truth Social posts criticizing prosecutors and touting poll leads over Joe Biden. Campaign rallies in battleground states like North Carolina and Georgia this month could yield comments on immigration policy, economy, or rival Nikki Haley's path-to-victory challenges. With no confirmed major announcement, traders watch for post-primary reactions, endorsements, or legal updates that historically shift his rhetoric and influence implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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