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ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャル投稿2026年4月3日~ 4月10日?

Market icon

ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャル投稿2026年4月3日~ 4月10日?

80~99 30%

100~119 30%

120~139 28%

60〜79 27%

Polymarket
新規

80~99 30%

100~119 30%

120~139 28%

60〜79 27%

Polymarket
新規

20未満

$169 Vol.

1%

20~39

$0 Vol.

26%

40〜59

$0 Vol.

26%

60〜79

$0 Vol.

27%

80~99

$0 Vol.

30%

100~119

$0 Vol.

30%

120~139

$0 Vol.

28%

140〜159

$0 Vol.

27%

160〜179

$0 Vol.

26%

180~199

$0 Vol.

26%

200以上

$0 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume remains highly variable, with trackers reporting 94-99 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts for March 24-31 amid routine commentary on Iran tensions and domestic opponents like Letitia James, sustaining a baseline of 12-15 daily outputs. This even 25.5% spread across bins reflects trader consensus on unpredictable spikes—historical barrages exceeding 150 in days during foreign policy escalations or late-night frenzies—versus quieter periods, keeping the race tight absent imminent catalysts. Easter Sunday on April 5 could moderate activity, but breaking news such as Strait of Hormuz developments, economic data releases, or legal rulings might drive separation toward higher bins.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$169
終了日
2026/04/10
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume remains highly variable, with trackers reporting 94-99 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts for March 24-31 amid routine commentary on Iran tensions and domestic opponents like Letitia James, sustaining a baseline of 12-15 daily outputs. This even 25.5% spread across bins reflects trader consensus on unpredictable spikes—historical barrages exceeding 150 in days during foreign policy escalations or late-night frenzies—versus quieter periods, keeping the race tight absent imminent catalysts. Easter Sunday on April 5 could moderate activity, but breaking news such as Strait of Hormuz developments, economic data releases, or legal rulings might drive separation toward higher bins.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$169
終了日
2026/04/10
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャル投稿2026年4月3日~ 4月10日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「80~99」で30%、次いで「100~119」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、30¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に30%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャル投稿2026年4月3日~ 4月10日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 31, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャル投稿2026年4月3日~ 4月10日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャル投稿2026年4月3日~ 4月10日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「80~99」で30%であり、市場がこの結果に30%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「100~119」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャル投稿2026年4月3日~ 4月10日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。