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政治·トランプ

Leavittさんは次の記者会見にどのくらい遅れますか？

Market icon
政治·トランプ

Leavittさんは次の記者会見にどのくらい遅れますか？

15分未満 58%

20〜25分 36%

25～30分 35%

30〜35分 31%

Polymarket
NEW

15分未満 58%

20〜25分 36%

25～30分 35%

30〜35分 31%

Polymarket
NEW

15分未満

$2 Vol.

36%

15～20分

$10 Vol.

23%

20〜25分

$0 Vol.

36%

25～30分

$0 Vol.

35%

30〜35分

$0 Vol.

31%

35分以上

$0 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's consistent pattern of moderate delays to scheduled briefings drives the tight trader consensus, with <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35.5%), and 25-30 minutes (35%) leading closely. Recent examples include her March 25 arrival 40 minutes past the 1:00 p.m. ET slot amid Iran conflict updates and a March 10 start 17 minutes after her announced 2:00 p.m. time, reflecting variability from last-minute presidential meetings or preparation. No developments in the past week alter this dynamic, but an extended Oval Office huddle on foreign policy could push toward 35+ minutes, while streamlined scheduling might favor under 20 minutes, keeping the outcome contested until her next appearance.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's consistent pattern of moderate delays to scheduled briefings drives the tight trader consensus, with <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35.5%), and 25-30 minutes (35%) leading closely. Recent examples include her March 25 arrival 40 minutes past the 1:00 p.m. ET slot amid Iran conflict updates and a March 10 start 17 minutes after her announced 2:00 p.m. time, reflecting variability from last-minute presidential meetings or preparation. No developments in the past week alter this dynamic, but an extended Oval Office huddle on foreign policy could push toward 35+ minutes, while streamlined scheduling might favor under 20 minutes, keeping the outcome contested until her next appearance.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's consistent pattern of moderate delays to scheduled briefings drives the tight trader consensus, with <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35.5%), and 25-30 minutes (35%) leading closely. Recent examples include her March 25 arrival 40 minutes past the 1:00 p.m. ET slot amid Iran conflict updates and a March 10 start 17 minutes after her announced 2:00 p.m. time, reflecting variability from last-minute presidential meetings or preparation. No developments in the past week alter this dynamic, but an extended Oval Office huddle on foreign policy could push toward 35+ minutes, while streamlined scheduling might favor under 20 minutes, keeping the outcome contested until her next appearance.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's consistent pattern of moderate delays to scheduled briefings drives the tight trader consensus, with <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35.5%), and 25-30 minutes (35%) leading closely. Recent examples include her March 25 arrival 40 minutes past the 1:00 p.m. ET slot amid Iran conflict updates and a March 10 start 17 minutes after her announced 2:00 p.m. time, reflecting variability from last-minute presidential meetings or preparation. No developments in the past week alter this dynamic, but an extended Oval Office huddle on foreign policy could push toward 35+ minutes, while streamlined scheduling might favor under 20 minutes, keeping the outcome contested until her next appearance.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Leavittさんは次の記者会見にどのくらい遅れますか？」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「15分未満」で36%、次いで「20〜25分」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Leavittさんは次の記者会見にどのくらい遅れますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 29, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Leavittさんは次の記者会見にどのくらい遅れますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Leavittさんは次の記者会見にどのくらい遅れますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「15分未満」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「20〜25分」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Leavittさんは次の記者会見にどのくらい遅れますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。