Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4, 2026, clusters tightly around 40-89 total posts (67% combined implied probability), reflecting his recent daily cadence of 20-30 amid viral commentary on Grok's multilingual translation breakthroughs, Tesla FSD Europe rollout buzz, and political firestorms like Trump supporter violence. A sharp dip to just 13 posts on March 29—versus 48 on March 28—tempered higher bins like 90-114 (21%), but rebounds on March 30-31 signal potential weekend variability. Key swing factors include major announcements from SpaceX or xAI, which historically spike engagement, versus quieter periods focused on family or travel; the closely matched 65-89 (36%) and 40-64 (31%) bins hinge on whether cultural momentum sustains or fades post-March slowdown.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日65～89 36%
40〜64 31%
90～114 21%
115～139 7%
新規
$68,265 Vol.
新規
$68,265 Vol.
2026/04/04
40未満
6%
40〜64
31%
65～89
36%
90～114
21%
115～139
7%
140〜164
2%
165～189
1%
190～214
<1%
215～239
<1%
240以上
<1%
65～89 36%
40〜64 31%
90～114 21%
115～139 7%
新規
$68,265 Vol.
新規
$68,265 Vol.
2026/04/04
40未満
$8,748 Vol.
6%
40〜64
$3,797 Vol.
31%
65～89
$3,741 Vol.
36%
90～114
$3,769 Vol.
21%
115～139
$4,085 Vol.
7%
140〜164
$6,711 Vol.
2%
165～189
$8,581 Vol.
1%
190～214
$7,023 Vol.
<1%
215～239
$14,180 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$7,632 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4, 2026, clusters tightly around 40-89 total posts (67% combined implied probability), reflecting his recent daily cadence of 20-30 amid viral commentary on Grok's multilingual translation breakthroughs, Tesla FSD Europe rollout buzz, and political firestorms like Trump supporter violence. A sharp dip to just 13 posts on March 29—versus 48 on March 28—tempered higher bins like 90-114 (21%), but rebounds on March 30-31 signal potential weekend variability. Key swing factors include major announcements from SpaceX or xAI, which historically spike engagement, versus quieter periods focused on family or travel; the closely matched 65-89 (36%) and 40-64 (31%) bins hinge on whether cultural momentum sustains or fades post-March slowdown.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$68,265終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4, 2026, clusters tightly around 40-89 total posts (67% combined implied probability), reflecting his recent daily cadence of 20-30 amid viral commentary on Grok's multilingual translation breakthroughs, Tesla FSD Europe rollout buzz, and political firestorms like Trump supporter violence. A sharp dip to just 13 posts on March 29—versus 48 on March 28—tempered higher bins like 90-114 (21%), but rebounds on March 30-31 signal potential weekend variability. Key swing factors include major announcements from SpaceX or xAI, which historically spike engagement, versus quieter periods focused on family or travel; the closely matched 65-89 (36%) and 40-64 (31%) bins hinge on whether cultural momentum sustains or fades post-March slowdown.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$68,265終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4, 2026, clusters tightly around 40-89 total posts (67% combined implied probability), reflecting his recent daily cadence of 20-30 amid viral commentary on Grok's multilingual translation breakthroughs, Tesla FSD Europe rollout buzz, and political firestorms like Trump supporter violence. A sharp dip to just 13 posts on March 29—versus 48 on March 28—tempered higher bins like 90-114 (21%), but rebounds on March 30-31 signal potential weekend variability. Key swing factors include major announcements from SpaceX or xAI, which historically spike engagement, versus quieter periods focused on family or travel; the closely matched 65-89 (36%) and 40-64 (31%) bins hinge on whether cultural momentum sustains or fades post-March slowdown.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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