Trader consensus on the White House X account's posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026, clusters around 160-179 (39%) and 180-199 (30%), driven primarily by uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome, as Republican administrations historically averaged 20-30% higher weekly volumes than Democratic ones based on past data—Trump-era peaks near 200 versus Biden's 100-140 range. Recent polling tightening, with national surveys showing single-digit gaps and Polymarket election odds at roughly 52% Trump win, keeps higher bins viable while blending scenarios. Developments like October debates, early voting turnout, or legal resolutions could widen separation by clarifying the incoming administration's communication strategy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日160-179 39%
180-199 30%
140-159 26%
120-139 19%
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
2%
60-79
5%
80-99
16%
100-119
16%
120-139
19%
140-159
26%
160-179
39%
180-199
30%
200+
18%
160-179 39%
180-199 30%
140-159 26%
120-139 19%
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
2%
60-79
5%
80-99
16%
100-119
16%
120-139
19%
140-159
26%
160-179
39%
180-199
30%
200+
18%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the White House X account's posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026, clusters around 160-179 (39%) and 180-199 (30%), driven primarily by uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome, as Republican administrations historically averaged 20-30% higher weekly volumes than Democratic ones based on past data—Trump-era peaks near 200 versus Biden's 100-140 range. Recent polling tightening, with national surveys showing single-digit gaps and Polymarket election odds at roughly 52% Trump win, keeps higher bins viable while blending scenarios. Developments like October debates, early voting turnout, or legal resolutions could widen separation by clarifying the incoming administration's communication strategy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問