Trader consensus implies 180-200 White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, driven by expectations of elevated official account activity under the post-2024 election administration, with historical data showing Trump-era volumes averaging 20-30 daily updates versus Biden's 10-15. The tight clustering among top bins reflects 2024 race uncertainty—polls show Trump holding a slim national lead amid swing-state volatility—tempering bets on sustained high output. Recent debate performances and fundraising surges have steadied odds without clear separation, but November election results, January inauguration transitions, or early-term communication strategies could shift volumes dramatically, as skin-in-the-game traders weigh past precedents against leadership style differences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日200以上 32%
180~199 25%
160〜179 20%
140〜159 14%
$11,074 Vol.
$11,074 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40〜59
1%
60〜79
2%
80〜99
3%
100~119
5%
120〜139
7%
140〜159
14%
160〜179
20%
180~199
25%
200以上
26%
200以上 32%
180~199 25%
160〜179 20%
140〜159 14%
$11,074 Vol.
$11,074 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40〜59
1%
60〜79
2%
80〜99
3%
100~119
5%
120〜139
7%
140〜159
14%
160〜179
20%
180~199
25%
200以上
26%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus implies 180-200 White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, driven by expectations of elevated official account activity under the post-2024 election administration, with historical data showing Trump-era volumes averaging 20-30 daily updates versus Biden's 10-15. The tight clustering among top bins reflects 2024 race uncertainty—polls show Trump holding a slim national lead amid swing-state volatility—tempering bets on sustained high output. Recent debate performances and fundraising surges have steadied odds without clear separation, but November election results, January inauguration transitions, or early-term communication strategies could shift volumes dramatically, as skin-in-the-game traders weigh past precedents against leadership style differences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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