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icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか？
政治·文化

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか？

icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか？
政治·文化

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか？

Ended: 6月 1

7月 1

8月 1

Ended: 6月 1

7月 1

8月 1

800〜839 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20～39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$6,029,817 Vol.

800〜839 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20～39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$6,029,817 Vol.

20未満

$52,654 Vol.

いいえ

20～39

$19,583 Vol.

いいえ

40～59

$12,304 Vol.

いいえ

60～79

$16,751 Vol.

いいえ

80〜99

$18,676 Vol.

いいえ

100〜119

$8,915 Vol.

いいえ

120～139

$12,329 Vol.

いいえ

140〜159

$12,897 Vol.

いいえ

160～179

$77,613 Vol.

いいえ

180～199

$14,180 Vol.

いいえ

200〜219

$19,579 Vol.

いいえ

220～239

$34,012 Vol.

いいえ

240～259

$50,475 Vol.

いいえ

260～279

$46,029 Vol.

いいえ

280～299

$69,905 Vol.

いいえ

300〜319

$82,058 Vol.

いいえ

320〜339

$65,112 Vol.

いいえ

340～359

$120,837 Vol.

いいえ

360〜379

$90,319 Vol.

いいえ

380～399

$58,220 Vol.

いいえ

400〜419

$63,871 Vol.

いいえ

420～439

$45,053 Vol.

いいえ

440～459

$71,207 Vol.

いいえ

460〜479

$127,358 Vol.

いいえ

480～499

$107,393 Vol.

いいえ

500〜519

$97,665 Vol.

いいえ

520〜539

$75,611 Vol.

いいえ

540〜559

$78,205 Vol.

いいえ

560～579

$61,466 Vol.

いいえ

580～599

$83,744 Vol.

いいえ

600〜619

$87,713 Vol.

いいえ

620〜639

$85,338 Vol.

いいえ

640〜659

$245,227 Vol.

いいえ

660〜679

$91,639 Vol.

いいえ

680～699

$135,244 Vol.

いいえ

700〜719

$141,019 Vol.

いいえ

720〜739

$77,942 Vol.

いいえ

740〜759

$75,760 Vol.

いいえ

760〜779

$105,952 Vol.

いいえ

780〜799

$151,298 Vol.

いいえ

800〜839

$329,646 Vol.

はい

840～879

$212,786 Vol.

いいえ

880～919

$221,085 Vol.

いいえ

920〜959

$109,311 Vol.

いいえ

960～999

$93,702 Vol.

いいえ

1000〜1039

$96,592 Vol.

いいえ

1040〜1079

$136,954 Vol.

いいえ

1080～1119

$148,434 Vol.

いいえ

1120〜1159

$147,312 Vol.

いいえ

1160～1199

$101,576 Vol.

いいえ

1200～1239

$96,369 Vol.

いいえ

1240～1279

$102,385 Vol.

いいえ

1280〜1319

$91,772 Vol.

いいえ

1320〜1359

$116,336 Vol.

いいえ

1360〜1399

$87,900 Vol.

いいえ

1400〜1439

$116,906 Vol.

いいえ

1440～1479

$73,605 Vol.

いいえ

1480～1519

$77,766 Vol.

いいえ

1520〜1559

$116,334 Vol.

いいえ

1560〜1599

$58,708 Vol.

いいえ

1600〜1679

$51,622 Vol.

いいえ

1680〜1759

$53,831 Vol.

いいえ

1760〜1839

$47,364 Vol.

いいえ

1840〜1919

$42,463 Vol.

いいえ

1920～1999

$78,383 Vol.

いいえ

2000件以上

$329,524 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market-implied odds reflect the verified total of Elon Musk’s X posts during May 2026 landing squarely in the 800-839 range, producing overwhelming trader consensus. Musk maintained his characteristic high-volume posting cadence throughout the month, driven by ongoing commentary on technology, politics, and platform developments, with no major disruptions or extended absences altering the pace. Historical monthly activity patterns and real-time tracking data aligned closely with this bucket, leaving little room for variance. Scenarios capable of producing an upset—such as an unexpected surge above 1,000 posts or a sharp drop below 800—would require atypical events like a prolonged platform outage or sustained low-engagement period, neither of which materialized before the month closed.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$6,029,817
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market-implied odds reflect the verified total of Elon Musk’s X posts during May 2026 landing squarely in the 800-839 range, producing overwhelming trader consensus. Musk maintained his characteristic high-volume posting cadence throughout the month, driven by ongoing commentary on technology, politics, and platform developments, with no major disruptions or extended absences altering the pace. Historical monthly activity patterns and real-time tracking data aligned closely with this bucket, leaving little room for variance. Scenarios capable of producing an upset—such as an unexpected surge above 1,000 posts or a sharp drop below 800—would require atypical events like a prolonged platform outage or sustained low-engagement period, neither of which materialized before the month closed.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$6,029,817
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか？」はPolymarket上の66+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「800〜839」で100%、次いで「20未満」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか？」は$6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている66+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「800〜839」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「20未満」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。