Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet volume in May 2026 at 1080-1679 posts, with 1600-1679 leading narrowly at 18.3% implied probability over clustered 1100-1200 ranges (17-18%), signaling tight competition driven by his recent posting surge. Late 2024 data shows Musk averaging 35-50 tweets daily amid U.S. election fervor and Trump transition duties, per X trackers—up from 2024's quieter months like May's 557 total—fueled by algorithmic favoritism on his platform and cultural centrality in tech-politics discourse. Sustained DOGE role could push toward higher bins, but historical dips during Tesla/SpaceX crunches favor the moderate cluster, with traders eyeing policy milestones as volume catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1160~1199 17.5%
1320〜1359 14.8%
1480~1519 14.8%
1040〜1079 13.7%
$61,036 Vol.
$61,036 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120~139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160~179
<1%
180~199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240~259
<1%
260~279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300〜319
<1%
320〜339
<1%
340~359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380~399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420~439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480~499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600〜619
<1%
620〜639
<1%
640〜659
<1%
660〜679
1%
680~699
1%
700〜719
1%
720〜739
1%
740〜759
1%
760〜779
1%
780〜799
1%
800〜839
2%
840~879
2%
880~919
2%
920〜959
2%
960~999
2%
1000〜1039
2%
1040〜1079
14%
1080~1119
18%
1120〜1159
18%
1160~1199
17%
1200~1239
9%
1240~1279
10%
1280〜1319
11%
1320〜1359
15%
1360〜1399
11%
1400〜1439
10%
1440~1479
11%
1480~1519
15%
1520〜1559
14%
1560〜1599
12%
1600〜1679
18%
1680〜1759
14%
1760〜1839
1%
1840〜1919
2%
1920~1999
2%
2000件以上
2%
1160~1199 17.5%
1320〜1359 14.8%
1480~1519 14.8%
1040〜1079 13.7%
$61,036 Vol.
$61,036 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120~139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160~179
<1%
180~199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240~259
<1%
260~279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300〜319
<1%
320〜339
<1%
340~359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380~399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420~439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480~499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600〜619
<1%
620〜639
<1%
640〜659
<1%
660〜679
1%
680~699
1%
700〜719
1%
720〜739
1%
740〜759
1%
760〜779
1%
780〜799
1%
800〜839
2%
840~879
2%
880~919
2%
920〜959
2%
960~999
2%
1000〜1039
2%
1040〜1079
14%
1080~1119
18%
1120〜1159
18%
1160~1199
17%
1200~1239
9%
1240~1279
10%
1280〜1319
11%
1320〜1359
15%
1360〜1399
11%
1400〜1439
10%
1440~1479
11%
1480~1519
15%
1520〜1559
14%
1560〜1599
12%
1600〜1679
18%
1680〜1759
14%
1760〜1839
1%
1840〜1919
2%
1920~1999
2%
2000件以上
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet volume in May 2026 at 1080-1679 posts, with 1600-1679 leading narrowly at 18.3% implied probability over clustered 1100-1200 ranges (17-18%), signaling tight competition driven by his recent posting surge. Late 2024 data shows Musk averaging 35-50 tweets daily amid U.S. election fervor and Trump transition duties, per X trackers—up from 2024's quieter months like May's 557 total—fueled by algorithmic favoritism on his platform and cultural centrality in tech-politics discourse. Sustained DOGE role could push toward higher bins, but historical dips during Tesla/SpaceX crunches favor the moderate cluster, with traders eyeing policy milestones as volume catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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