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Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?

Market icon

Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?

100~119 32%

60〜79 24%

80~99 12%

120〜139 12%

Polymarket
新規

100~119 32%

60〜79 24%

80~99 12%

120〜139 12%

Polymarket
新規

20未満

$148 Vol.

1%

20〜39

$143 Vol.

2%

40〜59

$24 Vol.

12%

60〜79

$10 Vol.

24%

80~99

$10 Vol.

26%

100~119

$10 Vol.

32%

120〜139

$10 Vol.

26%

140〜159

$10 Vol.

21%

160〜179

$10 Vol.

2%

180~199

$15 Vol.

19%

200以上

$76 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus centers on 100-139 posts by Senator Ted Cruz (@tedcruz) on X during April 3-10, mirroring his recent high-volume activity averaging 10+ daily amid the ongoing government shutdown—now on day 44—and his March 28 CPAC speech, which spurred commentary on ICE funding, foreign policy including Israel-Palestinian tensions, and Commerce Committee markups. The tight clustering across 60-200+ ranges reflects variability in his output, driven by unpredictable catalysts like floor votes, Verdict podcast promotions, or diplomatic developments on Iran and Venezuela. A major Senate hearing or shutdown breakthrough could push toward 140+, while recesses or travel might drop below 100, creating separation.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$466
終了日
2026/04/10
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus centers on 100-139 posts by Senator Ted Cruz (@tedcruz) on X during April 3-10, mirroring his recent high-volume activity averaging 10+ daily amid the ongoing government shutdown—now on day 44—and his March 28 CPAC speech, which spurred commentary on ICE funding, foreign policy including Israel-Palestinian tensions, and Commerce Committee markups. The tight clustering across 60-200+ ranges reflects variability in his output, driven by unpredictable catalysts like floor votes, Verdict podcast promotions, or diplomatic developments on Iran and Venezuela. A major Senate hearing or shutdown breakthrough could push toward 140+, while recesses or travel might drop below 100, creating separation.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$466
終了日
2026/04/10
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「100~119」で33%、次いで「80~99」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、33¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に33%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 31, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「100~119」で33%であり、市場がこの結果に33%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「80~99」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。