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Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Market icon

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

18% 確率
Polymarket
新規
18% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ontario Premier Doug Ford's reaffirmed commitment to seek a fourth term, announced at the Progressive Conservative Party convention in early February, anchors trader consensus at 82.5% against his exit as PC leader by December 31. Recent Ipsos polling from March 16 shows PCs leading at 42%, with other surveys confirming a stable double-digit edge over rivals amid post-2025 election momentum. No internal party challenges, no-confidence motions, or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to erode his position. Yesterday's joint news conference with Prime Minister Mark Carney on accelerating homebuilding further highlights Ford's active governance role, with the next provincial election not due until around 2030 barring a snap call.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ontario Premier Doug Ford's reaffirmed commitment to seek a fourth term, announced at the Progressive Conservative Party convention in early February, anchors trader consensus at 82.5% against his exit as PC leader by December 31. Recent Ipsos polling from March 16 shows PCs leading at 42%, with other surveys confirming a stable double-digit edge over rivals amid post-2025 election momentum. No internal party challenges, no-confidence motions, or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to erode his position. Yesterday's joint news conference with Prime Minister Mark Carney on accelerating homebuilding further highlights Ford's active governance role, with the next provincial election not due until around 2030 barring a snap call.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して18%です。例えば、「はい」が18¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を18%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 30, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して18%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を18%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。