Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus pins Elon Musk's X posts from April 3-10 at a tight cluster around 240-279 (15.5% implied probability) and 240-259 (14.5%), mirroring his recent 31-post daily average over March 27-April 3 (216 total per XTracker data). This follows March's frenetic ~43 posts/day pace amid legal distractions like the shareholder fraud trial, but reflects a steadier rhythm without fresh catalysts. Competitive dynamics hinge on bursty viral threads or real-time responses to Tesla/SpaceX news, politics, or platform drama—key differentiators that could push toward 280+ upsets or sub-240 lulls, with daily tracking as the swing factor before April 10 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日240〜259 16%
260～279 16%
280～299 13%
220〜239 12%
$724,112 Vol.
$724,112 Vol.
2026/04/10
＜20
<1%
20～39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100〜119
<1%
120～139
<1%
140～159
<1%
160〜179
1%
180〜199
3%
200〜219
7%
220〜239
12%
240〜259
16%
260～279
16%
280～299
13%
300〜319
12%
320〜339
9%
340〜359
7%
360〜379
6%
380～399
3%
400～419
2%
420～439
1%
440〜459
1%
460〜479
1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
<1%
560～579
<1%
580以上
<1%
240〜259 16%
260～279 16%
280～299 13%
220〜239 12%
$724,112 Vol.
$724,112 Vol.
2026/04/10
＜20
$48,918 Vol.
<1%
20～39
$31,672 Vol.
<1%
40〜59
$40,479 Vol.
<1%
60〜79
$46,495 Vol.
<1%
80〜99
$65,892 Vol.
<1%
100〜119
$26,950 Vol.
<1%
120～139
$26,778 Vol.
<1%
140～159
$23,771 Vol.
<1%
160〜179
$25,921 Vol.
1%
180〜199
$17,145 Vol.
3%
200〜219
$15,181 Vol.
7%
220〜239
$24,014 Vol.
12%
240〜259
$28,288 Vol.
16%
260～279
$33,399 Vol.
16%
280～299
$22,150 Vol.
13%
300〜319
$22,067 Vol.
12%
320〜339
$16,490 Vol.
9%
340〜359
$12,153 Vol.
7%
360〜379
$10,152 Vol.
6%
380～399
$13,934 Vol.
3%
400～419
$15,765 Vol.
2%
420～439
$13,323 Vol.
1%
440〜459
$11,433 Vol.
1%
460〜479
$11,455 Vol.
1%
480〜499
$12,815 Vol.
<1%
500〜519
$16,747 Vol.
<1%
520〜539
$16,057 Vol.
<1%
540〜559
$18,124 Vol.
<1%
560～579
$16,489 Vol.
<1%
580以上
$40,086 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus pins Elon Musk's X posts from April 3-10 at a tight cluster around 240-279 (15.5% implied probability) and 240-259 (14.5%), mirroring his recent 31-post daily average over March 27-April 3 (216 total per XTracker data). This follows March's frenetic ~43 posts/day pace amid legal distractions like the shareholder fraud trial, but reflects a steadier rhythm without fresh catalysts. Competitive dynamics hinge on bursty viral threads or real-time responses to Tesla/SpaceX news, politics, or platform drama—key differentiators that could push toward 280+ upsets or sub-240 lulls, with daily tracking as the swing factor before April 10 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$724,112終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus pins Elon Musk's X posts from April 3-10 at a tight cluster around 240-279 (15.5% implied probability) and 240-259 (14.5%), mirroring his recent 31-post daily average over March 27-April 3 (216 total per XTracker data). This follows March's frenetic ~43 posts/day pace amid legal distractions like the shareholder fraud trial, but reflects a steadier rhythm without fresh catalysts. Competitive dynamics hinge on bursty viral threads or real-time responses to Tesla/SpaceX news, politics, or platform drama—key differentiators that could push toward 280+ upsets or sub-240 lulls, with daily tracking as the swing factor before April 10 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$724,112終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus pins Elon Musk's X posts from April 3-10 at a tight cluster around 240-279 (15.5% implied probability) and 240-259 (14.5%), mirroring his recent 31-post daily average over March 27-April 3 (216 total per XTracker data). This follows March's frenetic ~43 posts/day pace amid legal distractions like the shareholder fraud trial, but reflects a steadier rhythm without fresh catalysts. Competitive dynamics hinge on bursty viral threads or real-time responses to Tesla/SpaceX news, politics, or platform drama—key differentiators that could push toward 280+ upsets or sub-240 lulls, with daily tracking as the swing factor before April 10 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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