Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 65-114 total X posts by Elon Musk over April 4-6, with 65-89 (35.5% implied probability) edging out 90-114 (29.5%), reflecting his recent daily average of 38 posts from the March 27-April 3 period (191 total). This closely contested dynamic hinges on weekend posting patterns—historically steady but prone to spikes from viral moments like Starship updates or political commentary, as seen in his consistent 40ish daily pace through March's 1320-1359 total. No major catalysts emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping extremes like under 40 or over 140 at low odds, though a controversy could swing volume higher before the April 7 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日65-89 36%
90-114 30%
40-64 21%
115-139 13%
新規
$126,338 Vol.
新規
$126,338 Vol.
2026/04/06
<40
3%
40-64
21%
65-89
36%
90-114
30%
115-139
13%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 36%
90-114 30%
40-64 21%
115-139 13%
新規
$126,338 Vol.
新規
$126,338 Vol.
2026/04/06
<40
$9,314 Vol.
3%
40-64
$5,726 Vol.
21%
65-89
$2,003 Vol.
36%
90-114
$4,715 Vol.
30%
115-139
$4,681 Vol.
13%
140-164
$5,055 Vol.
3%
165-189
$10,685 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,640 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$34,010 Vol.
<1%
240+
$38,599 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 65-114 total X posts by Elon Musk over April 4-6, with 65-89 (35.5% implied probability) edging out 90-114 (29.5%), reflecting his recent daily average of 38 posts from the March 27-April 3 period (191 total). This closely contested dynamic hinges on weekend posting patterns—historically steady but prone to spikes from viral moments like Starship updates or political commentary, as seen in his consistent 40ish daily pace through March's 1320-1359 total. No major catalysts emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping extremes like under 40 or over 140 at low odds, though a controversy could swing volume higher before the April 7 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
音量
$126,338終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 65-114 total X posts by Elon Musk over April 4-6, with 65-89 (35.5% implied probability) edging out 90-114 (29.5%), reflecting his recent daily average of 38 posts from the March 27-April 3 period (191 total). This closely contested dynamic hinges on weekend posting patterns—historically steady but prone to spikes from viral moments like Starship updates or political commentary, as seen in his consistent 40ish daily pace through March's 1320-1359 total. No major catalysts emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping extremes like under 40 or over 140 at low odds, though a controversy could swing volume higher before the April 7 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$126,338終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 65-114 total X posts by Elon Musk over April 4-6, with 65-89 (35.5% implied probability) edging out 90-114 (29.5%), reflecting his recent daily average of 38 posts from the March 27-April 3 period (191 total). This closely contested dynamic hinges on weekend posting patterns—historically steady but prone to spikes from viral moments like Starship updates or political commentary, as seen in his consistent 40ish daily pace through March's 1320-1359 total. No major catalysts emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping extremes like under 40 or over 140 at low odds, though a controversy could swing volume higher before the April 7 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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