Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Zelenskyy posting 60-79 times (37.5%) on X from April 3-10 at the highest implied probability, with 80-99 (30%) and 40-59 (29%) in tight contention, mirroring his sustained average of roughly 7-12 posts daily—often bilingual originals plus video addresses—driven by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and diplomatic outreach. Yesterday's April 1 posts highlighted Passover greetings and a "positive" discussion with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, Lindsey Graham, and NATO's Mark Rutte on bolstering security guarantees against renewed Russian aggression, plus post-war reconstruction prospects. Prior weeks like March 24-31 saw similar high-volume patterns tied to Gulf state visits and Bulgaria's security pact; the race stays close due to fluctuations from travel schedules and event intensity, with potential trilateral summits or airstrike escalations likely to push toward higher bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日60~79 38%
80〜99 30%
40〜59 28%
20〜39 10.0%
20未満
5%
20〜39
10%
40〜59
28%
60~79
38%
80〜99
30%
100〜119
3%
120〜139
25%
140~159
25%
160〜179
24%
180〜199
5%
200以上
5%
60~79 38%
80〜99 30%
40〜59 28%
20〜39 10.0%
20未満
5%
20〜39
10%
40〜59
28%
60~79
38%
80〜99
30%
100〜119
3%
120〜139
25%
140~159
25%
160〜179
24%
180〜199
5%
200以上
5%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Zelenskyy posting 60-79 times (37.5%) on X from April 3-10 at the highest implied probability, with 80-99 (30%) and 40-59 (29%) in tight contention, mirroring his sustained average of roughly 7-12 posts daily—often bilingual originals plus video addresses—driven by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and diplomatic outreach. Yesterday's April 1 posts highlighted Passover greetings and a "positive" discussion with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, Lindsey Graham, and NATO's Mark Rutte on bolstering security guarantees against renewed Russian aggression, plus post-war reconstruction prospects. Prior weeks like March 24-31 saw similar high-volume patterns tied to Gulf state visits and Bulgaria's security pact; the race stays close due to fluctuations from travel schedules and event intensity, with potential trilateral summits or airstrike escalations likely to push toward higher bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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