QatarEnergy's LNG production in Qatar remains halted following Iranian missile attacks on Ras Laffan facilities in early March 2026, prompting a full shutdown of gas liquefaction and declaration of force majeure on contracts. Official updates from QatarEnergy on March 19 detailed significant damage, with repairs now projected by Fitch Ratings to take several years amid the ongoing Iran conflict. No resumption announcements have emerged in the past three weeks, and North Field expansion timelines have slipped to late 2026 or beyond. Traders' 92.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this consensus on extended outages, barring unexpected de-escalation or rapid fixes before April 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
$23,637 Vol.
新規
$23,637 Vol.
2026/04/30
新規
$23,637 Vol.
新規
$23,637 Vol.
2026/04/30
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.QatarEnergy's LNG production in Qatar remains halted following Iranian missile attacks on Ras Laffan facilities in early March 2026, prompting a full shutdown of gas liquefaction and declaration of force majeure on contracts. Official updates from QatarEnergy on March 19 detailed significant damage, with repairs now projected by Fitch Ratings to take several years amid the ongoing Iran conflict. No resumption announcements have emerged in the past three weeks, and North Field expansion timelines have slipped to late 2026 or beyond. Traders' 92.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this consensus on extended outages, barring unexpected de-escalation or rapid fixes before April 30.
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$23,637終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.QatarEnergy's LNG production in Qatar remains halted following Iranian missile attacks on Ras Laffan facilities in early March 2026, prompting a full shutdown of gas liquefaction and declaration of force majeure on contracts. Official updates from QatarEnergy on March 19 detailed significant damage, with repairs now projected by Fitch Ratings to take several years amid the ongoing Iran conflict. No resumption announcements have emerged in the past three weeks, and North Field expansion timelines have slipped to late 2026 or beyond. Traders' 92.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this consensus on extended outages, barring unexpected de-escalation or rapid fixes before April 30.
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$23,637終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...QatarEnergy's LNG production in Qatar remains halted following Iranian missile attacks on Ras Laffan facilities in early March 2026, prompting a full shutdown of gas liquefaction and declaration of force majeure on contracts. Official updates from QatarEnergy on March 19 detailed significant damage, with repairs now projected by Fitch Ratings to take several years amid the ongoing Iran conflict. No resumption announcements have emerged in the past three weeks, and North Field expansion timelines have slipped to late 2026 or beyond. Traders' 92.5% implied probability on "No" reflects this consensus on extended outages, barring unexpected de-escalation or rapid fixes before April 30.
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