Escalating US-Iran tensions dominate trader consensus for this market, with recent US and Israeli airstrikes on over 7,000 Iranian targets since late March, including a new wave hitting Tehran on March 30, pushing "Something" odds to 62%. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth's March 31 Pentagon briefing detailed next military moves amid President Trump's threats to "obliterate" Iran, heightening risks of US ground forces entering Iran—the market's primary trigger. Strait of Hormuz disruptions add oil price volatility toward $200 WTI, while a scheduled Federal Reserve decision in April could prompt rate changes. These developments signal potential for resolution-altering events before April 30, though no ground invasion or other criteria like Epstein arrests or Cuba action have materialized yet.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Nothing
新規
新規
2026/04/30
Nothing
新規
新規
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdfEscalating US-Iran tensions dominate trader consensus for this market, with recent US and Israeli airstrikes on over 7,000 Iranian targets since late March, including a new wave hitting Tehran on March 30, pushing "Something" odds to 62%. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth's March 31 Pentagon briefing detailed next military moves amid President Trump's threats to "obliterate" Iran, heightening risks of US ground forces entering Iran—the market's primary trigger. Strait of Hormuz disruptions add oil price volatility toward $200 WTI, while a scheduled Federal Reserve decision in April could prompt rate changes. These developments signal potential for resolution-altering events before April 30, though no ground invasion or other criteria like Epstein arrests or Cuba action have materialized yet.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
音量
$7,201終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdfEscalating US-Iran tensions dominate trader consensus for this market, with recent US and Israeli airstrikes on over 7,000 Iranian targets since late March, including a new wave hitting Tehran on March 30, pushing "Something" odds to 62%. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth's March 31 Pentagon briefing detailed next military moves amid President Trump's threats to "obliterate" Iran, heightening risks of US ground forces entering Iran—the market's primary trigger. Strait of Hormuz disruptions add oil price volatility toward $200 WTI, while a scheduled Federal Reserve decision in April could prompt rate changes. These developments signal potential for resolution-altering events before April 30, though no ground invasion or other criteria like Epstein arrests or Cuba action have materialized yet.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
音量
$7,201終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating US-Iran tensions dominate trader consensus for this market, with recent US and Israeli airstrikes on over 7,000 Iranian targets since late March, including a new wave hitting Tehran on March 30, pushing "Something" odds to 62%. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth's March 31 Pentagon briefing detailed next military moves amid President Trump's threats to "obliterate" Iran, heightening risks of US ground forces entering Iran—the market's primary trigger. Strait of Hormuz disruptions add oil price volatility toward $200 WTI, while a scheduled Federal Reserve decision in April could prompt rate changes. These developments signal potential for resolution-altering events before April 30, though no ground invasion or other criteria like Epstein arrests or Cuba action have materialized yet.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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