State Sen. Mayes Middleton's commanding 46% first-round lead in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas attorney general, fueled by nearly $14 million in self-funding, positions him as the clear trader consensus favorite at 66.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff against U.S. Rep. Chip Roy. Recent attack ads from both camps highlight Roy's legal experience and prior Trump criticisms versus Middleton's lack of courtroom practice, but third-place finisher Aaron Reitz's March 25 endorsement of Middleton—citing his Trump alignment—has helped consolidate conservative support. With no post-primary polls available, markets reflect Middleton's fundraising dominance and momentum as key edges in this closely watched GOP nomination battle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Chip Roy
31%
Mayes Middleton
44%
Chip Roy
31%
Mayes Middleton
44%
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...State Sen. Mayes Middleton's commanding 46% first-round lead in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas attorney general, fueled by nearly $14 million in self-funding, positions him as the clear trader consensus favorite at 66.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff against U.S. Rep. Chip Roy. Recent attack ads from both camps highlight Roy's legal experience and prior Trump criticisms versus Middleton's lack of courtroom practice, but third-place finisher Aaron Reitz's March 25 endorsement of Middleton—citing his Trump alignment—has helped consolidate conservative support. With no post-primary polls available, markets reflect Middleton's fundraising dominance and momentum as key edges in this closely watched GOP nomination battle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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