Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 59.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising, and proven ability to fend off challengers in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has narrowed the gap per recent Data for Progress and Justice Democrats polls from mid-March showing a virtual tie among likely primary voters, bolstered by national progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats and his profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three gun reform protests. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.6% following his January entry. With candidate filing closed March 11, attention turns to turnout among key voting blocs ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Steve Cohen 60%
Justin Pearson 33%
DeVante Hill 7.7%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
Steve Cohen
60%
Justin Pearson
33%
DeVante Hill
8%
Steve Cohen 60%
Justin Pearson 33%
DeVante Hill 7.7%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
Steve Cohen
$3,328 Vol.
60%
Justin Pearson
$0 Vol.
33%
DeVante Hill
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 59.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising, and proven ability to fend off challengers in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has narrowed the gap per recent Data for Progress and Justice Democrats polls from mid-March showing a virtual tie among likely primary voters, bolstered by national progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats and his profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three gun reform protests. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.6% following his January entry. With candidate filing closed March 11, attention turns to turnout among key voting blocs ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
音量
$3,328終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 59.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising, and proven ability to fend off challengers in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has narrowed the gap per recent Data for Progress and Justice Democrats polls from mid-March showing a virtual tie among likely primary voters, bolstered by national progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats and his profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three gun reform protests. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.6% following his January entry. With candidate filing closed March 11, attention turns to turnout among key voting blocs ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$3,328終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 59.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising, and proven ability to fend off challengers in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has narrowed the gap per recent Data for Progress and Justice Democrats polls from mid-March showing a virtual tie among likely primary voters, bolstered by national progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats and his profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three gun reform protests. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.6% following his January entry. With candidate filing closed March 11, attention turns to turnout among key voting blocs ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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