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選挙·ニューヨーク州予備選挙

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
選挙·ニューヨーク州予備選挙

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Steve Cohen 59%

Justin Pearson 33%

DeVante Hill 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Steve Cohen 59%

Justin Pearson 33%

DeVante Hill 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Steve Cohen

$3,308 Vol.

59%

Justin Pearson

$0 Vol.

33%

DeVante Hill

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising exceeding $1.8 million including corporate PACs, and history of defeating local challengers in heavily Democratic Memphis. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has surged on recent polls from Data for Progress and Justice Democrats showing a virtual tie (44-45% each in March surveys of likely primary voters), fueled by his progressive profile from the Tennessee Three expulsion and grassroots momentum rejecting corporate influence. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.8% amid lower visibility. With the August 6 primary approaching, turnout among younger Black voters and church communities could tip the closely contested race.

Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising exceeding $1.8 million including corporate PACs, and history of defeating local challengers in heavily Democratic Memphis. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has surged on recent polls from Data for Progress and Justice Democrats showing a virtual tie (44-45% each in March surveys of likely primary voters), fueled by his progressive profile from the Tennessee Three expulsion and grassroots momentum rejecting corporate influence. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.8% amid lower visibility. With the August 6 primary approaching, turnout among younger Black voters and church communities could tip the closely contested race.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising exceeding $1.8 million including corporate PACs, and history of defeating local challengers in heavily Democratic Memphis. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has surged on recent polls from Data for Progress and Justice Democrats showing a virtual tie (44-45% each in March surveys of likely primary voters), fueled by his progressive profile from the Tennessee Three expulsion and grassroots momentum rejecting corporate influence. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.8% amid lower visibility. With the August 6 primary approaching, turnout among younger Black voters and church communities could tip the closely contested race.

Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising exceeding $1.8 million including corporate PACs, and history of defeating local challengers in heavily Democratic Memphis. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has surged on recent polls from Data for Progress and Justice Democrats showing a virtual tie (44-45% each in March surveys of likely primary voters), fueled by his progressive profile from the Tennessee Three expulsion and grassroots momentum rejecting corporate influence. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.8% amid lower visibility. With the August 6 primary approaching, turnout among younger Black voters and church communities could tip the closely contested race.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Steve Cohen」で59%、次いで「Justin Pearson」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、59¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に59%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 10, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Steve Cohen」で59%であり、市場がこの結果に59%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Justin Pearson」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。