Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 95.5% trader consensus in the IN-07 Democratic primary due to his 18-year tenure, consistent primary dominance—including an 85% win in 2024—and superior fundraising that dwarfs challengers like George Hornedo and last-minute entrant Destiny Scott Wells, a prior statewide nominee. The D+21 district ensures the primary winner's general election path, amplifying Carson's name recognition and institutional support amid challengers' limited resources and profiles, including Denise Paul Hatch's past misconduct issues. With early voting underway ahead of May 5, odds could shift via a Carson scandal, Wells' late momentum from party infighting critiques, or anti-incumbent turnout surge, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日André Carson 96%
Destiny Scott Wells 2.1%
Denise Paul Hatch 1.3%
George Hornedo <1%
$10,048 Vol.
$10,048 Vol.
André Carson
96%
Destiny Scott Wells
2%
Denise Paul Hatch
1%
George Hornedo
<1%
André Carson 96%
Destiny Scott Wells 2.1%
Denise Paul Hatch 1.3%
George Hornedo <1%
$10,048 Vol.
$10,048 Vol.
André Carson
96%
Destiny Scott Wells
2%
Denise Paul Hatch
1%
George Hornedo
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 95.5% trader consensus in the IN-07 Democratic primary due to his 18-year tenure, consistent primary dominance—including an 85% win in 2024—and superior fundraising that dwarfs challengers like George Hornedo and last-minute entrant Destiny Scott Wells, a prior statewide nominee. The D+21 district ensures the primary winner's general election path, amplifying Carson's name recognition and institutional support amid challengers' limited resources and profiles, including Denise Paul Hatch's past misconduct issues. With early voting underway ahead of May 5, odds could shift via a Carson scandal, Wells' late momentum from party infighting critiques, or anti-incumbent turnout surge, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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