Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Democratic primary leader Graham Platner defeating incumbent Republican Susan Collins 48%-41% in a general election matchup, while Gov. Janet Mills also edges Collins 46%-43%, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 75.5% likelihood of victory. Platner dominates the June 9 Democratic primary under ranked-choice voting with averages of 52% to Mills' 33%, reflecting momentum from his fundraising and appeal amid Collins' 57% unfavorable rating. As a toss-up race rated by forecasters, Maine's Democratic lean and Collins' need to hold her moderate base in a state Biden carried position the contest as a key Senate battleground, with primary outcome pivotal ahead of November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$49,043 Vol.
$49,043 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
76%
共和党
23%
$49,043 Vol.
$49,043 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$31,993 Vol.
76%
共和党
$17,051 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Democratic primary leader Graham Platner defeating incumbent Republican Susan Collins 48%-41% in a general election matchup, while Gov. Janet Mills also edges Collins 46%-43%, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 75.5% likelihood of victory. Platner dominates the June 9 Democratic primary under ranked-choice voting with averages of 52% to Mills' 33%, reflecting momentum from his fundraising and appeal amid Collins' 57% unfavorable rating. As a toss-up race rated by forecasters, Maine's Democratic lean and Collins' need to hold her moderate base in a state Biden carried position the contest as a key Senate battleground, with primary outcome pivotal ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$49,043終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Democratic primary leader Graham Platner defeating incumbent Republican Susan Collins 48%-41% in a general election matchup, while Gov. Janet Mills also edges Collins 46%-43%, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 75.5% likelihood of victory. Platner dominates the June 9 Democratic primary under ranked-choice voting with averages of 52% to Mills' 33%, reflecting momentum from his fundraising and appeal amid Collins' 57% unfavorable rating. As a toss-up race rated by forecasters, Maine's Democratic lean and Collins' need to hold her moderate base in a state Biden carried position the contest as a key Senate battleground, with primary outcome pivotal ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$49,043終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Democratic primary leader Graham Platner defeating incumbent Republican Susan Collins 48%-41% in a general election matchup, while Gov. Janet Mills also edges Collins 46%-43%, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 75.5% likelihood of victory. Platner dominates the June 9 Democratic primary under ranked-choice voting with averages of 52% to Mills' 33%, reflecting momentum from his fundraising and appeal amid Collins' 57% unfavorable rating. As a toss-up race rated by forecasters, Maine's Democratic lean and Collins' need to hold her moderate base in a state Biden carried position the contest as a key Senate battleground, with primary outcome pivotal ahead of November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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