Recent polling averages show the likely Democratic nominee holding a narrow edge over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in Maine’s U.S. Senate contest, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Governor Janet Mills’s April withdrawal from the Democratic primary cleared the path for veteran and oyster farmer Graham Platner, who maintains a strong lead ahead of the June 9 primary. Multiple May and early June surveys place Platner at 48-51 percent against Collins at 42-43 percent among likely voters, though forecasters continue to rate the November 3 race a toss-up or slight Republican lean due to the state’s independent voters and historical patterns. The modest Democratic advantage in market pricing reflects this polling shift and primary clarity, with the result sensitive to turnout and any late developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$430,467 Vol.
$430,467 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
59%
共和党
41%
$430,467 Vol.
$430,467 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$253,522 Vol.
59%
共和党
$176,945 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show the likely Democratic nominee holding a narrow edge over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in Maine’s U.S. Senate contest, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Governor Janet Mills’s April withdrawal from the Democratic primary cleared the path for veteran and oyster farmer Graham Platner, who maintains a strong lead ahead of the June 9 primary. Multiple May and early June surveys place Platner at 48-51 percent against Collins at 42-43 percent among likely voters, though forecasters continue to rate the November 3 race a toss-up or slight Republican lean due to the state’s independent voters and historical patterns. The modest Democratic advantage in market pricing reflects this polling shift and primary clarity, with the result sensitive to turnout and any late developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$430,467終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show the likely Democratic nominee holding a narrow edge over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in Maine’s U.S. Senate contest, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Governor Janet Mills’s April withdrawal from the Democratic primary cleared the path for veteran and oyster farmer Graham Platner, who maintains a strong lead ahead of the June 9 primary. Multiple May and early June surveys place Platner at 48-51 percent against Collins at 42-43 percent among likely voters, though forecasters continue to rate the November 3 race a toss-up or slight Republican lean due to the state’s independent voters and historical patterns. The modest Democratic advantage in market pricing reflects this polling shift and primary clarity, with the result sensitive to turnout and any late developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$430,467終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show the likely Democratic nominee holding a narrow edge over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in Maine’s U.S. Senate contest, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Governor Janet Mills’s April withdrawal from the Democratic primary cleared the path for veteran and oyster farmer Graham Platner, who maintains a strong lead ahead of the June 9 primary. Multiple May and early June surveys place Platner at 48-51 percent against Collins at 42-43 percent among likely voters, though forecasters continue to rate the November 3 race a toss-up or slight Republican lean due to the state’s independent voters and historical patterns. The modest Democratic advantage in market pricing reflects this polling shift and primary clarity, with the result sensitive to turnout and any late developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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