Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a fundraising advantage with nearly $3 million raised through March, bolstered by a recent $30,000 infusion from Article One PAC and endorsements from the Democratic Party of California and the Sacramento Bee, positioning him strongly in California's top-two primary on June 2. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a venture capitalist with over $3.2 million raised and backing from Our Revolution, emerges as his chief rival amid a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to consolidate enough support to advance. The new district map from Proposition 50 maintains a Solid Democratic lean per Cook Political Report, emphasizing split GOP votes as the key dynamic driving trader consensus on the likely top-two finishers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,059 Vol.
2026/06/02
マイク・トンプソン
98%
エリック・ジョーンズ
89%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
12%
トレバー・メレル
12%
シャロン・ブラウン
8%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
8%
マンディ・グシャル
6%
ローリー・マッケンジー
5%
$23,059 Vol.
マイク・トンプソン
$7,050 Vol.
98%
エリック・ジョーンズ
$4,757 Vol.
89%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
$396 Vol.
12%
トレバー・メレル
$7,016 Vol.
12%
シャロン・ブラウン
$1,621 Vol.
8%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
$765 Vol.
8%
マンディ・グシャル
$744 Vol.
6%
ローリー・マッケンジー
$710 Vol.
5%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a fundraising advantage with nearly $3 million raised through March, bolstered by a recent $30,000 infusion from Article One PAC and endorsements from the Democratic Party of California and the Sacramento Bee, positioning him strongly in California's top-two primary on June 2. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a venture capitalist with over $3.2 million raised and backing from Our Revolution, emerges as his chief rival amid a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to consolidate enough support to advance. The new district map from Proposition 50 maintains a Solid Democratic lean per Cook Political Report, emphasizing split GOP votes as the key dynamic driving trader consensus on the likely top-two finishers.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
音量
$23,059終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a fundraising advantage with nearly $3 million raised through March, bolstered by a recent $30,000 infusion from Article One PAC and endorsements from the Democratic Party of California and the Sacramento Bee, positioning him strongly in California's top-two primary on June 2. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a venture capitalist with over $3.2 million raised and backing from Our Revolution, emerges as his chief rival amid a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to consolidate enough support to advance. The new district map from Proposition 50 maintains a Solid Democratic lean per Cook Political Report, emphasizing split GOP votes as the key dynamic driving trader consensus on the likely top-two finishers.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$23,059終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a fundraising advantage with nearly $3 million raised through March, bolstered by a recent $30,000 infusion from Article One PAC and endorsements from the Democratic Party of California and the Sacramento Bee, positioning him strongly in California's top-two primary on June 2. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a venture capitalist with over $3.2 million raised and backing from Our Revolution, emerges as his chief rival amid a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to consolidate enough support to advance. The new district map from Proposition 50 maintains a Solid Democratic lean per Cook Political Report, emphasizing split GOP votes as the key dynamic driving trader consensus on the likely top-two finishers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問