Incumbent Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District after redistricting shifted the seat's boundaries, facing a notable intra-party challenge from Eric Jones alongside multiple Republican candidates. Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat, benefits from established fundraising and name recognition in the North Bay and Central Valley areas, while Jones, a businessman and nonprofit executive, has drawn support from progressive groups seeking to energize younger voters. Early vote tallies indicate Thompson and Jones as the top two finishers advancing to the November general regardless of party, with Republicans trailing in aggregate. The race reflects California's jungle primary rules and broader midterm dynamics, where official certification timelines and any remaining ballot processing could finalize the exact order.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,388 Vol.
シャロン・ブラウン
いいえ
マンディ・グシャル
いいえ
ローリー・マッケンジー
いいえ
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
いいえ
マイク・トンプソン
はい
ヒース・ファルカーソン
いいえ
エリック・ジョーンズ
はい
トレバー・メレル
いいえ
$48,388 Vol.
シャロン・ブラウン
いいえ
マンディ・グシャル
いいえ
ローリー・マッケンジー
いいえ
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
いいえ
マイク・トンプソン
はい
ヒース・ファルカーソン
いいえ
エリック・ジョーンズ
はい
トレバー・メレル
いいえ
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Incumbent Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District after redistricting shifted the seat's boundaries, facing a notable intra-party challenge from Eric Jones alongside multiple Republican candidates. Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat, benefits from established fundraising and name recognition in the North Bay and Central Valley areas, while Jones, a businessman and nonprofit executive, has drawn support from progressive groups seeking to energize younger voters. Early vote tallies indicate Thompson and Jones as the top two finishers advancing to the November general regardless of party, with Republicans trailing in aggregate. The race reflects California's jungle primary rules and broader midterm dynamics, where official certification timelines and any remaining ballot processing could finalize the exact order.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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