California's 4th Congressional District holds its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with longtime incumbent Mike Thompson facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside several Republican candidates. Redistricting added rural territory from counties such as Colusa, Placer, and Yuba, yet the seat retains a strong Democratic lean. Thompson's decades of incumbency, established fundraising, and moderate profile have positioned him as the frontrunner, while Jones has invested substantial personal funds in an effort to mobilize younger voters. No significant developments have altered the candidate field since the March filing deadline, leaving the outcome dependent on voter turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs in the final days before the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,388 Vol.
2026/06/02
マイク・トンプソン
93%
エリック・ジョーンズ
90%
ローリー・マッケンジー
4%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
3%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
3%
シャロン・ブラウン
1%
トレバー・メレル
1%
マンディ・グシャル
<1%
$34,388 Vol.
マイク・トンプソン
$7,399 Vol.
93%
エリック・ジョーンズ
$5,802 Vol.
90%
ローリー・マッケンジー
$710 Vol.
4%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
$1,794 Vol.
3%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
$1,702 Vol.
3%
シャロン・ブラウン
$3,449 Vol.
1%
トレバー・メレル
$10,817 Vol.
1%
マンディ・グシャル
$2,715 Vol.
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 4th Congressional District holds its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with longtime incumbent Mike Thompson facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside several Republican candidates. Redistricting added rural territory from counties such as Colusa, Placer, and Yuba, yet the seat retains a strong Democratic lean. Thompson's decades of incumbency, established fundraising, and moderate profile have positioned him as the frontrunner, while Jones has invested substantial personal funds in an effort to mobilize younger voters. No significant developments have altered the candidate field since the March filing deadline, leaving the outcome dependent on voter turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs in the final days before the vote.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
音量
$34,388終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 4th Congressional District holds its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with longtime incumbent Mike Thompson facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside several Republican candidates. Redistricting added rural territory from counties such as Colusa, Placer, and Yuba, yet the seat retains a strong Democratic lean. Thompson's decades of incumbency, established fundraising, and moderate profile have positioned him as the frontrunner, while Jones has invested substantial personal funds in an effort to mobilize younger voters. No significant developments have altered the candidate field since the March filing deadline, leaving the outcome dependent on voter turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs in the final days before the vote.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$34,388終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 4th Congressional District holds its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with longtime incumbent Mike Thompson facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside several Republican candidates. Redistricting added rural territory from counties such as Colusa, Placer, and Yuba, yet the seat retains a strong Democratic lean. Thompson's decades of incumbency, established fundraising, and moderate profile have positioned him as the frontrunner, while Jones has invested substantial personal funds in an effort to mobilize younger voters. No significant developments have altered the candidate field since the March filing deadline, leaving the outcome dependent on voter turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs in the final days before the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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