The district's pronounced Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent recent election results, anchors the Democratic Party's commanding lead for the CA-10 seat. Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the June 2 vote, with independent ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Traders have priced in these structural factors, leaving limited room for Republican challengers. Late developments such as an unusually strong post-primary Republican nominee, a pronounced national partisan swing, or major candidate-specific issues could still shift probabilities, though the district's historical margins indicate such changes would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,469 Vol.
$13,469 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$13,469 Vol.
$13,469 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,846 Vol.
93%
共和党
$5,623 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent recent election results, anchors the Democratic Party's commanding lead for the CA-10 seat. Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the June 2 vote, with independent ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Traders have priced in these structural factors, leaving limited room for Republican challengers. Late developments such as an unusually strong post-primary Republican nominee, a pronounced national partisan swing, or major candidate-specific issues could still shift probabilities, though the district's historical margins indicate such changes would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$13,469終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent recent election results, anchors the Democratic Party's commanding lead for the CA-10 seat. Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the June 2 vote, with independent ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Traders have priced in these structural factors, leaving limited room for Republican challengers. Late developments such as an unusually strong post-primary Republican nominee, a pronounced national partisan swing, or major candidate-specific issues could still shift probabilities, though the district's historical margins indicate such changes would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,469終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's pronounced Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent recent election results, anchors the Democratic Party's commanding lead for the CA-10 seat. Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the June 2 vote, with independent ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Traders have priced in these structural factors, leaving limited room for Republican challengers. Late developments such as an unusually strong post-primary Republican nominee, a pronounced national partisan swing, or major candidate-specific issues could still shift probabilities, though the district's historical margins indicate such changes would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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