Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro advanced to Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff after finishing first and second in the May 31 first round with 43.7 percent and 40.9 percent of the vote, respectively. Official tallies showed neither candidate reached the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, concentrating more than 84 percent of valid ballots between the right-wing outsider and the left-wing Historic Pact senator. This outcome aligned with voter turnout exceeding 57 percent and consolidated support along ideological lines on security and economic policy. Trader consensus at 100 percent for their advancement reflects the confirmed preliminary and final results, while the negligible probability assigned to an outright first-round winner tracks the narrow margin between the top two. Late recounts, formal challenges, or procedural disputes remain the only narrow pathways that could alter the field before runoff ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1st Round Outright Winner <1%
$191,346 Vol.
$191,346 Vol.
1st Round Outright Winner
<1%
1st Round Outright Winner <1%
$191,346 Vol.
$191,346 Vol.
1st Round Outright Winner
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro advanced to Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff after finishing first and second in the May 31 first round with 43.7 percent and 40.9 percent of the vote, respectively. Official tallies showed neither candidate reached the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, concentrating more than 84 percent of valid ballots between the right-wing outsider and the left-wing Historic Pact senator. This outcome aligned with voter turnout exceeding 57 percent and consolidated support along ideological lines on security and economic policy. Trader consensus at 100 percent for their advancement reflects the confirmed preliminary and final results, while the negligible probability assigned to an outright first-round winner tracks the narrow margin between the top two. Late recounts, formal challenges, or procedural disputes remain the only narrow pathways that could alter the field before runoff ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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