Democratic control of the Virginia General Assembly, with slim majorities in both the House (51-49) and Senate (21-19) following 2023 elections, drives trader consensus at 76.5% for a new congressional map in the 2026 midterms, as lawmakers position to redraw lines favoring their party in competitive districts before Gov. Glenn Youngkin's veto power is tested again. In the 2024 legislative session ending April, Democrats advanced redistricting studies and proposals amid Republican challenges, while federal and state courts upheld the current map for 2024 but left room for statutory changes; ongoing litigation over partisan gerrymandering adds uncertainty. Traders weigh the wisdom of crowds on Democrats overcoming veto hurdles via negotiation, amendments, or commission activation under the 2020 constitutional reform, with the January 2025 session as the next key catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Democratic control of the Virginia General Assembly, with slim majorities in both the House (51-49) and Senate (21-19) following 2023 elections, drives trader consensus at 76.5% for a new congressional map in the 2026 midterms, as lawmakers position to redraw lines favoring their party in competitive districts before Gov. Glenn Youngkin's veto power is tested again. In the 2024 legislative session ending April, Democrats advanced redistricting studies and proposals amid Republican challenges, while federal and state courts upheld the current map for 2024 but left room for statutory changes; ongoing litigation over partisan gerrymandering adds uncertainty. Traders weigh the wisdom of crowds on Democrats overcoming veto hurdles via negotiation, amendments, or commission activation under the 2020 constitutional reform, with the January 2025 session as the next key catalyst.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Democratic control of the Virginia General Assembly, with slim majorities in both the House (51-49) and Senate (21-19) following 2023 elections, drives trader consensus at 76.5% for a new congressional map in the 2026 midterms, as lawmakers position to redraw lines favoring their party in competitive districts before Gov. Glenn Youngkin's veto power is tested again. In the 2024 legislative session ending April, Democrats advanced redistricting studies and proposals amid Republican challenges, while federal and state courts upheld the current map for 2024 but left room for statutory changes; ongoing litigation over partisan gerrymandering adds uncertainty. Traders weigh the wisdom of crowds on Democrats overcoming veto hurdles via negotiation, amendments, or commission activation under the 2020 constitutional reform, with the January 2025 session as the next key catalyst.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic control of the Virginia General Assembly, with slim majorities in both the House (51-49) and Senate (21-19) following 2023 elections, drives trader consensus at 76.5% for a new congressional map in the 2026 midterms, as lawmakers position to redraw lines favoring their party in competitive districts before Gov. Glenn Youngkin's veto power is tested again. In the 2024 legislative session ending April, Democrats advanced redistricting studies and proposals amid Republican challenges, while federal and state courts upheld the current map for 2024 but left room for statutory changes; ongoing litigation over partisan gerrymandering adds uncertainty. Traders weigh the wisdom of crowds on Democrats overcoming veto hurdles via negotiation, amendments, or commission activation under the 2020 constitutional reform, with the January 2025 session as the next key catalyst.
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