Virginia traders price a 77% chance of a new congressional map for the 2026 midterms, reflecting Republican control of the House of Delegates since their 2021 flip, which positions them to push revisions to the 2021 Democratic-drawn lines currently favoring Democrats by a narrow margin. The Virginia Supreme Court upheld the existing map for 2024 elections in December 2023 amid legislative deadlock with the Democratic Senate, but no major developments have occurred in the past 30 days. Key upcoming catalysts include 2025 legislative elections determining chamber control and the subsequent session's potential for new maps, consistent with states' flexibility to redraw congressional districts outside census cycles when partisan leverage allows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders price a 77% chance of a new congressional map for the 2026 midterms, reflecting Republican control of the House of Delegates since their 2021 flip, which positions them to push revisions to the 2021 Democratic-drawn lines currently favoring Democrats by a narrow margin. The Virginia Supreme Court upheld the existing map for 2024 elections in December 2023 amid legislative deadlock with the Democratic Senate, but no major developments have occurred in the past 30 days. Key upcoming catalysts include 2025 legislative elections determining chamber control and the subsequent session's potential for new maps, consistent with states' flexibility to redraw congressional districts outside census cycles when partisan leverage allows.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders price a 77% chance of a new congressional map for the 2026 midterms, reflecting Republican control of the House of Delegates since their 2021 flip, which positions them to push revisions to the 2021 Democratic-drawn lines currently favoring Democrats by a narrow margin. The Virginia Supreme Court upheld the existing map for 2024 elections in December 2023 amid legislative deadlock with the Democratic Senate, but no major developments have occurred in the past 30 days. Key upcoming catalysts include 2025 legislative elections determining chamber control and the subsequent session's potential for new maps, consistent with states' flexibility to redraw congressional districts outside census cycles when partisan leverage allows.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia traders price a 77% chance of a new congressional map for the 2026 midterms, reflecting Republican control of the House of Delegates since their 2021 flip, which positions them to push revisions to the 2021 Democratic-drawn lines currently favoring Democrats by a narrow margin. The Virginia Supreme Court upheld the existing map for 2024 elections in December 2023 amid legislative deadlock with the Democratic Senate, but no major developments have occurred in the past 30 days. Key upcoming catalysts include 2025 legislative elections determining chamber control and the subsequent session's potential for new maps, consistent with states' flexibility to redraw congressional districts outside census cycles when partisan leverage allows.
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