California's 34th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+28 partisan voting index, favors the Democratic Party at 93.7% trader consensus due to incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's strong fundraising lead—over $795,000 cash on hand—and history of winning general elections against Democratic opponents under the state's top-two primary system. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features six challengers, mostly Democrats with modest resources, and a lone Republican, Calvin Lee, reporting no fundraising. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and others reinforce the low odds of a GOP upset. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, Gomez withdrawal, or unprecedented GOP surge in this Latino-majority, urban Los Angeles district ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,069 Vol.
$17,069 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$17,069 Vol.
$17,069 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,837 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,233 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+28 partisan voting index, favors the Democratic Party at 93.7% trader consensus due to incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's strong fundraising lead—over $795,000 cash on hand—and history of winning general elections against Democratic opponents under the state's top-two primary system. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features six challengers, mostly Democrats with modest resources, and a lone Republican, Calvin Lee, reporting no fundraising. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and others reinforce the low odds of a GOP upset. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, Gomez withdrawal, or unprecedented GOP surge in this Latino-majority, urban Los Angeles district ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$17,069終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+28 partisan voting index, favors the Democratic Party at 93.7% trader consensus due to incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's strong fundraising lead—over $795,000 cash on hand—and history of winning general elections against Democratic opponents under the state's top-two primary system. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features six challengers, mostly Democrats with modest resources, and a lone Republican, Calvin Lee, reporting no fundraising. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and others reinforce the low odds of a GOP upset. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, Gomez withdrawal, or unprecedented GOP surge in this Latino-majority, urban Los Angeles district ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,069終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 34th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+28 partisan voting index, favors the Democratic Party at 93.7% trader consensus due to incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's strong fundraising lead—over $795,000 cash on hand—and history of winning general elections against Democratic opponents under the state's top-two primary system. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features six challengers, mostly Democrats with modest resources, and a lone Republican, Calvin Lee, reporting no fundraising. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and others reinforce the low odds of a GOP upset. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, Gomez withdrawal, or unprecedented GOP surge in this Latino-majority, urban Los Angeles district ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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