Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% in the NY-16 House race stems from the district's D+18 Cook PVI, his 71% general election landslide over Republican Miriam Flisser in 2024, and historical GOP peaks below 36%. With no declared Republican primary challengers and Latimer as the sole Democratic entrant ahead of the June 23 primaries, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold absent major shifts. While national midterm dynamics or a high-profile GOP recruit could narrow odds, realistic challenges would require a Latimer scandal, primary upset, or overwhelming Republican wave, as evidenced by consistent large Democratic margins in this Bronx-Westchester battleground.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$12,366 Vol.
$12,366 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$12,366 Vol.
$12,366 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,326 Vol.
94%
共和党
$5,040 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% in the NY-16 House race stems from the district's D+18 Cook PVI, his 71% general election landslide over Republican Miriam Flisser in 2024, and historical GOP peaks below 36%. With no declared Republican primary challengers and Latimer as the sole Democratic entrant ahead of the June 23 primaries, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold absent major shifts. While national midterm dynamics or a high-profile GOP recruit could narrow odds, realistic challenges would require a Latimer scandal, primary upset, or overwhelming Republican wave, as evidenced by consistent large Democratic margins in this Bronx-Westchester battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$12,366終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% in the NY-16 House race stems from the district's D+18 Cook PVI, his 71% general election landslide over Republican Miriam Flisser in 2024, and historical GOP peaks below 36%. With no declared Republican primary challengers and Latimer as the sole Democratic entrant ahead of the June 23 primaries, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold absent major shifts. While national midterm dynamics or a high-profile GOP recruit could narrow odds, realistic challenges would require a Latimer scandal, primary upset, or overwhelming Republican wave, as evidenced by consistent large Democratic margins in this Bronx-Westchester battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,366終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% in the NY-16 House race stems from the district's D+18 Cook PVI, his 71% general election landslide over Republican Miriam Flisser in 2024, and historical GOP peaks below 36%. With no declared Republican primary challengers and Latimer as the sole Democratic entrant ahead of the June 23 primaries, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold absent major shifts. While national midterm dynamics or a high-profile GOP recruit could narrow odds, realistic challenges would require a Latimer scandal, primary upset, or overwhelming Republican wave, as evidenced by consistent large Democratic margins in this Bronx-Westchester battleground.
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