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選挙·グローバル選挙

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

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選挙·グローバル選挙

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Doly Begum 100.0%

Diana Filipova <1%

Fatima Shaban <1%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Polymarket

$63,524 Vol.

Doly Begum 100.0%

Diana Filipova <1%

Fatima Shaban <1%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Polymarket

$63,524 Vol.

Will Doly Begum win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Doly Begum

$42,734 Vol.

Yes

Will Diana Filipova win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Diana Filipova

$4,526 Vol.

No

Will Fatima Shaban win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Fatima Shaban

$9,763 Vol.

No

Will Pooja Malhotra win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Pooja Malhotra

$1,440 Vol.

No

Will Lyall Sanders win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Lyall Sanders

$1,254 Vol.

No

Will April Francisco win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

April Francisco

$1,228 Vol.

No

Will David Vedova win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

David Vedova

$1,371 Vol.

No

Will Peter Koubakis win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Peter Koubakis

$1,208 Vol.

No

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Doly Begum's 100% market consensus reflects her official victory in the April 13, 2026, federal by-election for Scarborough Southwest, Ontario, where Elections Canada results projected a strong Liberal win after polls closed. The former New Democratic Party provincial MPP, who switched to the federal Liberals ahead of the vote, capitalized on incumbency-like recognition in the diverse Toronto riding to defeat challengers from other parties, securing Prime Minister Mark Carney's majority government. This outcome, confirmed by major networks with substantial vote tallies reported, drove traders to price her as the definitive MP-elect. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount triggered by close margins or proven irregularities, appear unlikely given her comfortable lead.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
音量
$63,524
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Doly Begum's 100% market consensus reflects her official victory in the April 13, 2026, federal by-election for Scarborough Southwest, Ontario, where Elections Canada results projected a strong Liberal win after polls closed. The former New Democratic Party provincial MPP, who switched to the federal Liberals ahead of the vote, capitalized on incumbency-like recognition in the diverse Toronto riding to defeat challengers from other parties, securing Prime Minister Mark Carney's majority government. This outcome, confirmed by major networks with substantial vote tallies reported, drove traders to price her as the definitive MP-elect. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount triggered by close margins or proven irregularities, appear unlikely given her comfortable lead.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
音量
$63,524
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Doly Begum」で100%、次いで「Diana Filipova」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」は$63.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Doly Begum」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Diana Filipova」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。