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icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
政治·下院

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
政治·下院

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 90%

Matt Ortega 12.4%

Victor Aguilar Jr. 6.8%

Carin Elam 4.1%

Polymarket
新規

Aisha Wahab 90%

Matt Ortega 12.4%

Victor Aguilar Jr. 6.8%

Carin Elam 4.1%

Polymarket
新規

Aisha Wahab

$550 Vol.

76%

Melissa Hernandez

$325 Vol.

40%

Wendy Huang

$530 Vol.

4%

Carin Elam

$253 Vol.

4%

Matt Ortega

$226 Vol.

12%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$743 Vol.

9%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$220 Vol.

7%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.State Sen. Aisha Wahab holds a strong lead in the June 16, 2026, nonpartisan primary for California's 14th Congressional District special election to fill the vacancy created by Eric Swalwell's April resignation. Wahab's position stems from her current state senate role, prior congressional candidacy, and endorsement from the California Democratic Party in a heavily Democratic district. The short campaign window following the April vacancy announcement has limited opportunities for challengers such as former Dublin Mayor Melissa Hernandez and others to close the gap. Traders assign Wahab a 75% implied probability of winning outright or advancing, reflecting her established name recognition and party support ahead of the August 18 general if needed.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
音量
$2,847
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.State Sen. Aisha Wahab holds a strong lead in the June 16, 2026, nonpartisan primary for California's 14th Congressional District special election to fill the vacancy created by Eric Swalwell's April resignation. Wahab's position stems from her current state senate role, prior congressional candidacy, and endorsement from the California Democratic Party in a heavily Democratic district. The short campaign window following the April vacancy announcement has limited opportunities for challengers such as former Dublin Mayor Melissa Hernandez and others to close the gap. Traders assign Wahab a 75% implied probability of winning outright or advancing, reflecting her established name recognition and party support ahead of the August 18 general if needed.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
音量
$2,847
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Aisha Wahab」で76%、次いで「Melissa Hernandez」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、76¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に76%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 16, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Aisha Wahab」で76%であり、市場がこの結果に76%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Melissa Hernandez」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。